Equidaily Racing Journal



Saturday, March 14, 2008
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes
by Seth Merrow

March came in like a lamb for us last week re: Best Bets -- but things became more lion-like this week. A solid $2 exacta return at Gulfstream has put the Best Bets feature on track to keep alive our 2009 string of winning months. Recap below.

Below is a recap of the 2009 Equidaily.com weekly Coast-to-coast's Best Bets through 3/14/09.

March is shaping up as the third straight month that our Best Bets will provide a positive ROI.

All plays are available for review through the Coast-to-coast archive.

$18.00 $27.80 $9.80 ... 54%
$20.00 $9.20 [$10.80] ... [54%]
$54.00 $45.80 [$8.20] ... [15%]
$44.00 $48.00 $4.00 ... 9%
$28.00 $46.80 $18.80 ... 67%
JANUARY $164.00 $177.60 $13.60 ... 8%
... ... ... ...
$24.00 $0 [$24.00] ... [100%]
$30.00 $65.20 $35.20 ... 117%
$12.00 $15.80 $3.80 ... 31%
$14.00 $13.00 [$1.00] ... [7%]
FEBRUARY $80.00 $94.00 $14.00 ... 18%
... ... ... ...
$26.00 $0 [$26.00] ... [100%]
$40.00 $160.40 $120.40 ... 301%
MARCH $66.00 $160.40 $94.40 ... 143%
... ... ... ...
2009 TOTAL $310.00 $432.00 $122.00 ... 39%

Plays are $2 win wagers -- unless otherwise noted. And other plays are $2 base wagers unless otherwise noted.

Turf wagers are turf only

Best Bets

Gulfstream, Race 9, Lime Rickey... Ran 2nd at 9-5 [xxx, 3.20, 2.20].
Gulfstream, Race 11, exacta box, Proper Authority/Reb/Kinsella... WON [$160.40/$2].
Fair Grounds, Race 4, exacta box, Omniscient/Fierce Thunder... Ran 1-7.
Tampa, Race 11, $1 exacta box, General Quarters/Join in the Dance/Hello Broadway/Warrior's Reward... Ran 2-5-7-8.
Santa Anita, Race 10, I Swear... Ran 3rd at 3-1 [xxx, xxx, 3.20].

Aqueduct: Cicada G3 $100K

Heart Ashley 9-2
Dream Play 3-5
One Smokin' Lady 3-1

Dream Play...Won last convincingly. A repeat makes her tough again.
Heart Ashley...Ships north for Asmussen and hasn't missed the exacta in four career starts.
Daily Star...Gets tested today but looked promising in debut win.
Purrfect Bluff.

Wager: $5 W on Dream Play.
...$4 exacta box top two.
...$1 tri key Dream Play over next three.

Gulfstream: Palm Beach G3 $150K

El Crespo 4-1
Lime Rickey 9-5
Stormalory 3-1

Lime Rickey...Has had some trouble in last two -- could make amends with a clean trip.
Stormalory...Took to the turf last time.
Duke of Homberg...Won a stake here in latest -- beating the top pick. Dangerous.
Beacon Hill Road.

Wager: $5 WP on Dream Play.
...$4 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top three.
...$1 tri key Dream Play over next three.
...$1 tri key Stormalory over other three.

Gulfstream: Gulfstream Park Hcp G2 $300K

Smooth Air 2-1
Finallymadeit 10-1
Formidable 4-1

Cool Coal Man...Showed some promise as a 3YO for Zito -- but might be even better this year.
How's Your Halo...Upset a sprint stake here last time and will contend if able to repeat that effort.

Wager: $5 W on Cool Coal Man.
...$4 exacta box top two.
...$1 tri key Cool Coal Man over next three.

Tampa: Florida Oaks G3 $200K

Don't Forget Gil 6-5
Ameribelle 3-1
Rock Candy 2-1

Rock Candy...Seems to have found a home at Tampa.
Don't Forget Gil...Just missed at 6-5 behind top pick last time. Dangerous.
Ameribelle...Split the top two in that photo.
Royal Ballade.

Wager: $5 WP on Rock Candy.
...$4 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Tampa: Hillsbourough G3 $175K

Backseat Rhythm 1-1
Elusive Lady 5-1
Ballymore Lady 6-1

Ballymore Lady...Has run well -- including a stakes win last time -- in two trips across the state this season.
Drop a Line...Could be a little tighter today in second start of 2009.
Mushka...Should be up close early and get first run -- ability to hold off any late challenges is the question.
Waquoit's Love.

Wager: $5 WP on Ballymore Lady.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Tampa: Tampa Bay Derby G3 $300K

Musket Man 5-1
Join in the Dance 35-1
Justdontcallmejeri 43-1

General Quarters...Absolutely convincing in the stakes prep for this. If he's able to hold that form he'll be tough again today.
Join in the Dance...It's "Todd-time". Pletcher runners have the ability to surprise in these Derby Trail races.
Hello Broadway...Certainly getting a lot of buzz for only having a maiden win on the resume -- but has shown some talent and we'll find out more today as he tries two turns for the first time.
Warrior's Reward.

Wager: $5 WP on General Quarters.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Fair Grounds: Bienville $75K

Classify...Trainer-jock combo going well at the meet. This is a bonafide turf sprint specialist. Has done well on less than firm turf.
Lady Chace...Second to top pick in a similar race two back.
Precious Kiss...Talented -- but unproven on grass.
Unfolding Wish.

Wager: $5 WP on Classify.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Fair Grounds: Fair Grounds Oaks G2 $400K

Rachel Alexandra 1-5
Flying Spur 7-1
Our Dahlia 12-1

Rachel Alexandra...3YO debut showed plenty of promise.
Four Gifts...Asmussen trainee ran second to talented barnmate in a similar stake here last time.
Flying Spur...Had a little bit of trouble in the stakes debut. Let's give her another chance.
Wager: $5 W on Rachel Alexandra.
...$5 exacta box top two.

Fair Grounds: New Orleans Hcp G2 $500K

Macho Again 10-1
Secret Getaway 9-1
It's a Bird 9-2

Honest Man...Likes this track and won nicely here last time.
Slew's Tiznow...Could be interesting with a return to real dirt.
Dry Martini...Will be heard from in the lane.
It's a Bird.

Wager: $5 WP on Honest Man.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Fair Grounds: Muniz Mem Hcp G2 $500K

Proudinsky 3-1
El Caballo 17-1
Nownownow 6-1

Soldier's Dancer...Typically in the hunt and in good form now. Has won a yielding ground.
Nownownow...Might appreciate the return to grass.
Proudinsky...Coming out of a nice G2 win in SoCal.
Transduction Gold.

Wager: $5 WP on Soldier's Dancer.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Fair Grounds: Louisiana Derby G2 $600K

Friesan Fire 2-1
Papa Clem 5-1
Terrain 8-1

Friesan Fire...Has rounded into good 3YO form and comes out of two stakes wins on this track.
Papa Clem...Along with I Want Revenge's win in NY this guy could solidify SoCal's claim to supremacy in the 3YO division. We'll see...
Uno Mas...Third behind the top pick last time. Has the look of one that's still figuring it all out.

Wager: $5 WP on Freisan Fire.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Fair Grounds: Kenner $125K

Sok Sok 3-1
Kodiak Kowboy 2-1
Garifine 11-1

Sok Sok...Will appreciate the return to Cajun country.
Kodiak Kowboy...Can complete an Asmussen exacta. Should fit well with this bunch.
Ikigai...Ships in from Florida and will certainly be a contender among this group.

Wager: $5 WP on Sok Sok.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Oaklawn: Rebel G2 $300K

Win Willy 56-1
Old Fashioned 2-5
Poltergeist 41-1

Old Fashioned...Best until beaten.
Captain Cherokee...Gets tested here but this could be a nice 3YO for Asmussen.
Silver City...Second to top pick last time.
Wise Kid.

Wager: $5 WP on Old Fashioned.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Santa Anita: San Felipe G2 $200K

Pioneerof the Nile 1-5
Fiesty Suances 11-1
Jeranimo 14-1

Pioneerof the Nile...Gets the nod off of last two -- and was flattered by I Want Revenge -- but is no lock, although this field probably could be considered mostly "third-stringers".
Kelly Leak...Moving in off of a turf win.
New Bay...Lightly-raced up-and-comer.
He's Really Big.

Wager: $2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Santa Anita: Santa Margarita Invy Hcp G1 $300K

Life Is Sweet 1-1
Santa Teresita 5-2
Model 4-1

Santa Teresita...Was the big win last time a fluke -- or is she just in career form right now? We'll find out more today.
Life is Sweet...Coming in off of two stakes wins.
Model...Just behind top pick last time.
Magical Fantasy.

Wager: $5 WP on Santa Teresita.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks


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