Equidaily Racing Journal

Coast-to-coast

www.equidaily.com

Saturday, November 5, 2011
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes
by Seth Merrow


Turf selections/wagers are turf only

Best Bets

Churchill: Race 4... WPS, Fantastic Song.
Churchill: Race 4... exacta box, Fantastic Song/Wrote/Animal Spirits/Lucky Chappy.
Churchill: Race 6... exacta box, Broken Dreams/Regally Ready/Camp Victory/Caracortado.
Churchill: Race 7... exacta box, The Factor/Wilburn/Caleb's Posse.
FRIDAY RESULTS:
Churchill: Race 8... exacta box, Questing/Grace Hall/My Miss Aurelia/Northen Passion/Weemissfrankie.
Collected $24.80 on the ex box.
Churchill: Race 8... exacta box, Grace Hall/My Miss Aurelia/Weemissfrankie.
Collected $24.80 on the ex box.
Churchill: Race 9... exacta box, Stacelita/Nahrain/Announce.
Ran 2-10-scr.


Churchill: BC Marathon

Cease...Lightly-raced up-and-coming 4YO that might have an edge on these.
Birdrun...Proven going marathon-type distances.
Pleasant Prince...Not sure he's lived up to his 3YO promise - but he wouldn't be a shock.
Giant Oak.

Wager: $5 WP on Cease.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.


Churchill: BC Juv Turf

Fantastic Song...Still might have some upside potential. Not sure we saw his best in the off-going last time.
Animal Spirits...Big closing kick to win in a field of 12 in a G3 at KEE.
Lucky Chappy...Also closed well in the KEE G3.
Wrote.

Wager: $5 WP on Fantastic Song.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.


Churchill: BC Sprint

Jackson Bend...Should have some pace to close into.
Amazombie...Also likely to be heard from in the lane.
Euroears...On the other hand, this guy is the one to catch off of those eye-popping recent works.
Force Freeze.

Wager: $5 WP on Jackson Bend.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.


Churchill: BC Turf Sprint

Regally Ready...Has run a couple of his best races on this track.
Camp Victory...Must overcome the outside post - and his Beyers are moving in the wrong direction, however, check out Chamberlain Bridge's dipping figs before he won this last year.
Broken Dreams...Proven turf sprinter. Cozy post. Gomez rides. Some things to like.
Caracortado.

Wager: $5 WP on Regally Ready.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.


Churchill: BC Dirt Mile

The Factor...Might just get to the front and maintain a high cruising speed that will leave him with enough in the lane.
Caleb's Posse...Best races have been one-turn events.
Wilburn...Up-and-comer could prove interesting here.
Trappe Shot.

Wager: $5 WP on The Factor.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.


Churchill: BC Turf

St Nicholas Abbey...Tough to choose between the Euros - but landed on this one dropping some weight, adding Lasix, and with a tendency to sit close early.
Sarafina...Beat the top pick two back.
Midday...Proven on US tracks.
Await the Dawn.

Wager: $5 WP on St Nicholas Abbey.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.


Churchill: BC Juv

Union Rags...Hard to fault the undefeated career so far.
Hansen...Two huge margin wins so far - question, of course, is dirt.
Creative Cause...Meanwhile, this one took to the dirt last time.
Drill.

Wager: $5 WP on Union Rags.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.


Churchill: BC Mile

Goldikova...Going for a four-peat in this race. Record isn't as good as last year - but she's running well nonetheless.
Byword...A group winner in Europe that is proven at the trip.
Courageous Cat...Just nipped by Goldikova in this race last year and could be coming into this in better form than 2010.
Turallure.

Wager: $5 WP on Goldikova.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.


Churchill: BC Classic

So You Think...In a relatively weak year for the US handicap division this two hemisphere star might have a class edge that will overcome the first try on dirt drawback.
Havre de Grace...Her lone try against the boys was impressive. She'll compete again today.
Flat Out...Hmmm, solid this year - except for his start on this track. However, the works here have been very good.
Stay Thirsty.

Wager: $5 WP on So You Think.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.



FRIDAY RESULTS:
Results:
A = top selection
B = second selection
C = third selection
D = fourth selection
Ab [or Bc, etc]... Move-up top pick [or second pick, etc] after scratches
x = not among our selections

Churchill: BC Juv Sprint

RESULTS: A-x-C [2.80, 2.40, 2.10]

Secret Circle...Convincing in the first two and numbers are clearly better than the rest here.
Seeker...Got some good stakes education last time.
Holdin Bullets...The layoff is the concern - but could be this good if ready.
Vexor.

Wager: $5 WP on Secret Circle.
...$5 exacta box top three.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.


Churchill: BC Juv Fully Turf

RESULTS: x-D-C

Elusive Kate...Euro-invader looks to have an edge on these if she takes to US racing.
Dear Lavinia...Also solid across the pond. Purchased by celeb chef Bobby Flay for this event.
Sweet Cat...The 'other' Pletcher runner in here - and she might surprise. Improving.
Stopshoppingmaria.

Wager: $5 WP on Elusive Kate.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.


Churchill: BC F/M Sprint

RESULTS: x-D-x

Turbulent Descent...Hasn't missed an exacta in her career. Comes out of a solid win in the G1 Test - might prefer that she had had a race since then though.
Tanda...Lone start on dirt was an OK deep closing third in 2010 G1 Acorn.
Pomeroys Pistol...Followed up a second behind the top pick with a G2 win.
Switch.

Wager: $5 WP on Turbulent Descent.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.


Churchill: BC Juv Fillies

RESULTS: B-C-A [xxx, xxx, 3.60] ex $24.80/$2, tri $101.20/42

Weemissfrankie...3-3 and battled tested in a couple SoCal G1s.
My Miss Aurelia...3-3 and very convincing in the G1 Frizette.
Grace Hall...3-3 and should be set up well off of the small stake tightner at Delaware.
Northern Passion. Questing.

Wager: $5 WP on Weemissfrankie.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top five.
...$1 tri box top five.


Churchill: BC FM Turf

RESULTS: x-A-x [xxx, 5.00, 3.80]

Nahrain...Lightly-raced 3YO comes out of a G1 win on Arc day in France.
Announce...Just beaten by the top pick in that G1.
Stacelita...Euro-transplant has been solid since moving to Brown barn.
Dubawi Heights.

Wager: $5 WP on Nahrain.
...$5 exacta box top three.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.


Churchill: BC Ladies Classic

RESULTS: A-B-C-D [6.40, 4.00, 3.20] ex $32.00/$2, tri $233.00/$2, super $1177.20/$2

Royal Delta...Hoping the Ask the Moon and Plum Pretty set it up for this one - but that's not guaranteed.
It's Tricky...Only one career dud. Will be in the thick of it if things do collapse up front.
Pachattack...Lone dirt start was an OK second in a G1 at Saratoga.
Ultra Blend.

Wager: $5 WP on Royal Delta.
...$2 exacta box top three.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.


If we are interested in both halves of an entry -- in event of a scratch -- it is noted that way [in other words, both halves are named]. If only one-half of the entry is named, then we prefer that half and will move to our next pick listed [rather than the other half of the entry] in event of a scratch.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks

equidaily.com

Note: Pages on this site are labelled with the equidaily.com logo. Some links are for information only and lead to pages at other sites. equidaily.com is responsible only for the pages on this site. equidaily.com assumes no responsibility for errors or omissions. Always check with official sources to verify info.

E-mail any questions, comments, or suggestions:

email button

Copyright 2011 equidaily.com