Equidaily Racing Journal



Saturday, July 12, 2003
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes

Some days the handicapping is solid top to bottom but the value just isn't there. Other days we can only manage a couple of scores -- but they're more than enough to justify the effort. Saturday fit into the latter category.

Only one winner on top in nine races (Calder, $5.00). But we scored big with our boxes in two other events. We grabbed the nice exacta ($218.20/$2) and tri ($1540.80/$2) in the Virginia Derby. And we repeated that score in the Smile at Calder (ex, $117.80/$2; tri, $534.40/$2).

So in the end it added up to a very nice ROI of about 315%.

WAGERED: $388.00
COLLECTED: $1225.60

Turf wagers are turf only

Belmont: Bowling Green H'cp

Whitmore's Conn 11-1
Quest Star 5-1
Macaw 5-1

Epicentre scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Epicentre.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-5-8.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 3-5-8.

Epicentre...Why try to go against the Frankel juggernaut.
State Shinto...Likely fave is coming off a nice winning US debut -- and is going for trainer shooting at an amazing 47%.
Thompson Rouge...Euro-import likely to go well in stateside debut for Mott.

Monmouth: Long Branch BC

Max Forever 11-1
Christine's Outlaw 4-5
Chilly Rooster 3-1

Wager: $5 WP on Ashmore.
Ran 4th at 8-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-4.
...$1 tri key Ashmore over next three.
Ran 4/2-3-6.
...$1 tri key Christine's Outlaw over other three.
Ran 2/3-4-6.
...$1 tri box top three.
Ran 2-3-4.

Ashmore...Brought a solid three-race streak into stakes debut last time. Ran an OK third. Might go better with that experience under belt.
Christine's Outlaw...Graded experience might give this one a slight class edge, we'll see.
Chilly Rooster...Jerkens trainee has yet to miss the board.

Colonial: Virginia Derby

Silver Tree 5-1
Kicken Kris 31-1
King's Drama 8-1

Wager: $5 WP on Senor Swinger.
Ran 4th at 1-5.
...$4 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-4.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $109.10 on the ex box ($218.20/$2).
...$1 tri key Senor Swinger over next three.
Ran 4/1-2-3.
...$1 tri box top four.
Collected $770.40 on the tri box ($1540.80/$2).

Senor Swinger...Baffert/Lewis 3YO has just dominated in two turf tries.
Silver Tree...Lightly raced Mott turfer has room to improve.
King's Drama...Euro-import won a G3 in France last month.
Kicken Kris.

Calder: Turf Sprint H'cp

Joe's Son Joey 7-1
Callthesheriff 22-1
Abderian 6-1

Wager: $5 WP on Testify.
Ran 9th at 3-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 7-9.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 4-7-9-10.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 4-7-9-10.

Testify...Going well since spring -- including stakes win at this trip last time. Concern is the drop shown last year after hitting a 100+ Beyer, but pattern looks a little more solid this season.
Petrina Above...Expect a return to good form on the grass. Picks up Chavez in the saddle.
Nuclear Debate...Seems to like the trip.
Take Achance On Me.

Calder: Azalea BC

Ebony Breeze 9-1
Storm Flag 2-1
Crafty Brat 14-1

Wager: $5 WP on Littlemiss Sparkle.
Ran 4th at 11-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-4.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-4-6-12.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-4-6-12.

Littlemiss Sparkle...Lightly raced filly is 3-1-2-0 and looks to have plenty of upside potential.
Storm Flag...Coming off a daylight sprint stake win -- but extra half furlong is a question mark. Filly is 6-4-2-0 overall, and 3-1-2-0 at the trip.
Angela's Love...Undefeated in two starts but must overcome the outside post.

Calder: Carry Back

Valid Video 8-1
Cajun Beat 26-1
Super Fuse 6-1

Savoy Special scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Coach Jimi Lee.
Ran 5th at 5-1.
...$4 exacta box top two.
Ran 5-7.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-5-7.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 3-5-7.

Coach Jimi Lee...Ran a close-up third to Posse two back and that one went on to beat Frankel's tough Midas Eyes on Belmont undercard.
Halo Homewrecker...Was third in that Belmont stake won by Posse. Expect a good try first time at this distance.
Savoy Special...Looks to be improving for Pletcher and has yet to miss the board.
Super Fuse.

Calder: Princess Rooney H'cp

Gold Mover 3-2
Vision in Flight 64-1
Harmony Lodge 3-1

Wager: $5 WP on Gold Mover.
Collected $20.00 on the WP (5.00, 3.00).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-7.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 1-5-7-8.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-5-7-8.

Gold Mover...Won this event last year beating champion Xtra Heat. Not particularly thrilled with the last effort but we'll hope it was due to the off-going and short field -- and it might add some value today.
Shawklit Mint...Beat the top pick last time in a G2 at Belmont -- but it will be harder here to score with a front-running effort.
For Rubies...Threw in a clunker three back -- otherwise perfect this season.
Slews Final Answer.

Calder: Smile Sprint H'cp

Shake You Down 5-2
Private Horde 24-1
My Cousin Matt 3-1

Wager: $5 WP on My Cousin Matt.
Ran 3rd.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-3.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $58.90 on the ex box ($117.80/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Collected $267.20 on the tri box ($534.40/$2).

My Cousin Matt... Fractious prior to start but still a solid second last time in first try since Dubai. Any improvement will make him tough.
Shake You Down...Uncoupled barn-mate of top pick is currently on a roll but has a tough task overcoming the 13-post.
Lord Abounding...Got a nice tryout over the track last time and should go well today.
Private Horde.

Hollywood: Kerlan Mem H'cp

Full Moon Madness 9-2
Sea To See 4-1
Ecstatic 4-1

Wager: $5 WP on Ecstatic.
Ran 3rd.
...$4 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-5.
...$2 tri key Ecstatic over next three.
Ran 3/2-4-5.

Ecstatic...He doesn't seem to like to win -- but we'll give this Baffert sprinter a slight edge on conditioning. A nice second last time despite some traffic.
No Armistice...Solid sprinter -- on dirt. Tries turf today, and is coming off a layoff. Some question marks to answer.
Sea To See...Might be ready for a big effort.
De Valmont.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks


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