Equidaily Racing Journal

Today's Best Bets

by Seth Merrow

Saratoga Race Course
Sunday, August 4, 2013
Meet Total ... 36-145

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0-12. Yeesh - oh-fer'd on a twelve-race card. Top pick ran second in four races and the second pick won six. All around it - but no luck in the win spot for the top picks. Did manage some gimmicks that took the sting out of the day: R1 ... CABD x 41.60 t 89.50 s 351.00; R3 ... BADC x 12.00 t 30.20 no super; R7 ... Bc-A-De "B" scr - our "A" pick was a clear second at 14-1 x 39.80 t 198.50.

33148 attended. It's August and the crowds returned. Weather was warm and sunny. The joint was jumpin with a huge and enthusiastic crowd. They were treated to a number of ceremonial events surrounding the 150th anniversary of racing at Saratoga- which, to the date, was Saturday. There was a cake - a replica of the racecourse. Proclamations and a winner's circle rendition of 'Happy Birthday'. And we had the first of four $15K wagers: Kevin Brockley, of nearby Gansevoort, was the winner of this week's $15K wager - which had to be placed as a win-bet on the feature race, The Whitney. An armored car drove up the track and delivered the dough - and Brockley was in the winner's circle to place his bet. He chose Fort Larned, and also-ran -- although on television ealirer in the day he said he was going to choose between Fort Larned and Cross Traffic. Oooof! Cross Traffic won [$9.10].

After the races the large crowd continued on to the neighboring post-race watering holes - and downtown was rockin' until the wee hours.


Defiant...Looks to havea Beyer edge on these - unless one of the firsters jumps up.
Bank Float...Precociously-bred.
Calm Pacific... Stormy Atlantic can produce win-early types - dam produced a sib Alphanumeric that was a good second at 24-1 in second career start, but overall took ten to win.
Strike It Big.
On dirt: Sneaky B.lowout, Dattt Melody, then same as above, then General Pico.

Dance Tap...Solid nature and nuture with sire and trainer - but this is dam's first foal.
Ketel Twist...Gained some education in debut. Interesting on the stretchout.
Fierce Boots...Sib to the talented Baffert 3YO Power Broker - but that one took four to win.
Tempers Flair.
Dirt: Same, plus Ma Billet Doux.

Road Agent...Jumps slightly off the claim - but still looks to have a Beyer edge on these.
Meet the Mets...The move from state-bred alw/opt clm into open claimer is often fruitful.
Risk Management...Finds some class relief - off the claim.
Sneaky Freud.

Consortium...Has flashed some talent and this 4YO's top contenders might be the 3YOs.
Eastwood...Could be any kind.
Majestic Hussar...Bullet work on Thursday is interesting.
Make a Fortune.

Enquete...Win-early sire and trainer. Dam produced sib Moon Propect that won career debut in France in 2005.
Guilty Verdict...Sire is good first out of the box. Dam was a G1 winner - but hasn't produced much.
Julia Tutwiler...Sib Highest Oder was a long time maiden but did run an OK third in debut.
Malibu Angel.

Wee Freudian...Class relief from last couple of dirt races - which featured solid Beyers.
Itsagoodtendollars...On the other hand - this one takes a slight class jump but has been competitive in limited starts this year.
Bug Juice...Broke maiden on this track back in 2010.
Dehere of the Cat.

Centrina...Won here a little over a week ago - why not right back?
Moonlit Sonnet...Also ran well here recently.
Funny Money...Might have gotten some useful experience vs winners last time. Rosario sticks.
Hurricane Jackie.
Dirt: Necessary Luxury, Satin Sheeks, Swift Taylor, Milkyyourway, Motion Lounge.

Giulio's Jewel...Takesa class hike - but improved significantly with move to turf - or was it the drop? Hmmm. We'll know more today.
Strategic Missile...Solid numbers this summer.
Normandy...Could be interesting on the cutback.
Spooky Kitten.
Dirt: Bobby Jo, Queen Mercury, Gnarley Girl, Giulio's Jewel.

NINTH RACE - G1 $400K Vanderbilt
Delaunay...Had a six-race win-streak snapped last time.
Gentlemen's Bet...This is the horse that snapped the top picks win-streak. Dangerous.
Bahamian Squall...Nice win in a slaty CRC sprint stake.

Bell by the Ridge...Capable on best effort.
Film Making...Just behind the top pick two back.
Tricky Hat...Looks to be competitive in this spot.
Tahoe Lake.
Dirt: Suns Out, Guns Out, Bell by the Ridge, Speightscity, Majestic Raffy, Tricky Hat, Tahoe Lake.

Face the Race...Could be primed to go well today.
Sunnysider...Lifetime best Beyer last time - after showing some early speed.
Campgiovanni...Also likely to compete here.
Polaris Dream.
Eleven Btravo.
Dirt: Same.

If we are interested in both halves of an entry -- in event of a scratch -- it is noted that way [in other words, both halves are named]. If only one-half of the entry is named, then we prefer that half and will move to our next pick listed [rather than the other half of the entry] in event of a scratch.

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