Equidaily Racing Journal

Today's Best Bets

by Seth Merrow

Saratoga Race Course
Thursday, August 16, 2012
Meet Total ... 66-238

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1-10. Kind of strange - noted yesterday that I found the card a bit of a challenge, and that was borne out by my anemic lone winner [R4, $3.50], however, the betting public was much more astute, tagging six of the day's ten winners as post time favorites.

Otherwise for me, three of my second picks won. A D-B exacta in R2 - and dipping 4-deep in that one was worth it as the gimmick paid $112.00/$2. In R3 it was a D-A-C-B finish [dead-heat for 4th] for a $28.40 exacta, $88.00 tri and $96.00 super. Cold A-B exacta in R4 [$7.00]. Reverse B-A exacta in R5 $11.20. And that was about it - although there was a string of horizontal wagers mid-card that only required going as deep as the "B" selection.

15,705 attended. A quick sprinkle blew through early - but the day was mostly sunny and warm. Red-hot apprentice Wilmer Garcia brought home another double-digit winner, winning R10 at $22.40.


The Price of Love...9YO Sheppard trainee might have a class-edge on many of these and eligible to improve with one under his belt at the meet.
Extraextraordinary...Won jumps debut.
Virsito...Also took to jumps in first try.
Duc de Savoie.

History Boy...Ok in three starts this season - could be primed to go well.
Wanganui...Ahead of top pick two back and ran well here in latest. Dangerous.
Black Quartz/Lake Placid...Lake Placid might try to take them all the way and Black Quartz could be stalking an pick up the pieces if Quartz falters - BUT, both ran poorly here on 7/26.

Show Some Magic...Went with experience although there are clearly some dangerous firsters in here. Three-time loser has finished just behind Circle Unbroken - and that one won G3 Bashford Manor next out - and Spurious Decision - the recent winner of the G2 Saratoga Special.
Lincoln Law...Lawyer Ron on top. Pletcher trains. Worked 10.3 before 2YO sale.
National Prayer...Songandaprayer on top.
Tiz for Tat.
Will Take Charge.

Two of a Kind...Improved last time on the drop. Picks up Dominguez today.
Know This...Bernardini on top and dam produced sib Ever a Friend that was a debut winner and went on to win a G1.
Light of Truth...Has some back numbers and is perhaps eligible to rebound on the class relief. But that's not a sure thing.

Fact...Has a Beyer edge on this bunch.
Seattle Appeal...A Pletcher firster that could slip slightly under the radar. Bought at 2YO sale last year [although paid $100K and running for $50K today] - worked 10.2 prior. Steady string of works leading into this.
Superestrella...Seems in good form.
Wagon Train.

Saturday Appeal...Trainer and sire are OK with win-early numbers.
Jerek Deter...Same - plus Ramon. Also, had a sib Kid Freud that took a few to win but was a close-up second in second career start at 16-1.
Stoneless...Half to Roderick - took four to win but was 4-1-2-0.
Acadian Connection.

Lawless Miss...Has taken to the grass.
Thunderous Lady...Solid in debut.
Rain Forest...Improved nicely in second start.
Rhonin Victoria.

Christopher's Joy...Drops first off claim for Asmussen.
Dan and Sheila...Showed some life on the drop last time. Claimed and now steps up slightly.
Charlie's Quest/Photon...Charlie moves in for cheapest tag of career. Photon seems primed.
How Do I Win.

Wildcatter...Lifetime Beyer best in a similar race last time.
Purest Form...Toss latest. Prior efforts fit here.
Primo...The one to catch?

TENTH RACE $150K West Point
Compliance Officer...Won this race last year and comes in this year in good form.
Abilio...Well beaten by top pick three back but going well since.
Johannesburg Smile...Should have company up front.
Street Game.

Yes It's Pink...Debut is one to build on.
Kibosh...Improved on grass.
Bunhead...Clunked last time but a nice work since.
Hey Little Girl.

If we are interested in both halves of an entry -- in event of a scratch -- it is noted that way [in other words, both halves are named]. If only one-half of the entry is named, then we prefer that half and will move to our next pick listed [rather than the other half of the entry] in event of a scratch.

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