Equidaily Racing Journal

Today's Best Bets

by Seth Merrow

Saratoga Race Course
Monday August 22, 2011
Meet Total ... 69-270

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6[7]-10. Wow - crazy-good day considering the weather and surface changes. It was just one of the days where often the best looked like the best regardless of surface - so our dirt picks remained much the same as they were on turf. And that's the way it played out often during the afternoon when the races were switched to the main track. Only the featured 4th race stayed on the turf.

We note above 6[7]-10 in our winners-on-top notation - because a blunder cost us one... Unfortunately, in the 6th we forgot to write 'same plus' in our dirt selection spot - and -- even though longtime readers might have caught on given our plays the rest of the day - and the fact that subsequently only two horses were listed - we can't really take credit for the win there. Our program notes are below -- but we were the only ones holding the program. Program notes same as dirts picks SAR R6 8/21/11

Doh! But, winners in the 1st [$7.20], 2nd [$5.80], 3rd [$4.10], 5th [$5.00], 6th [$11.00], 8th [$5.40], 9th [$11.20].

Given all of those winners we didn't score as many of the vertical gimmicks as we might have liked - but there were cold exactas in the 2nd [$13.20/$2] and 5th [$13.20]. Plus a bushel basket full of the horizontal type plays.

Attendance was 50,870 - which was inflated by the tote bag giveaway. But there was a good crowd onhand. They suffered through some wacky weather - with a torrential downpour at noontime. Then sun. Then another biblical-like storm later in the card - followed by more sun!


NYRA is reporting that races 2, 3, 6 and 10 are off the turf.

Asphalt...Has the numbers to point to him as best - but was beaten at 3-5 last time.
Evolutionist...Primed in third start back.
War Hoot...Uncouple barnmate to top pick won here last summer.
On dirt: Frazil, Wilkinson, Northern Giant, Asphalt, Slews Answer, War Hoot.

Lady Rizzi Sunnybrook Must Be Love Karakorum Fugitive.
Onm dirt: Isn't She Grand, Magic Tune, More Is Better, Lady Rizzi, Sunnybrook, Neat Lightning, Judicial Leader.

Ocean Seven Quick Recovery Quiet Assault Perfect Joiski.
On dirt: Quiet Assault, Quay Lime Guy, Ocean Seven, Perfect Joiski, Captain My Captain, D'oro Dancer, Quick Recovery.

Despite the Odds...Speed from the rail might be dangerous.
China...Behind a couple of others in here - but might benefit from that one.
Radiohead...Could be the one to beat if fires best shot first-off the claim. But that's a big 'if'.
Flat Bold.

FIFTH RACE - Union Ave $75K
Lovely Lil...There is some speed in here - so we'd like to see this one stalk up close and get first jump.
Nicole's Miss El...Same idea.
Bailzee...And if the speed completely falls apart this one might picks up the pieces.
Sentimental Lass.

Welchtown Glory Game Ruhtro Coronation Day.
On dirt: Sensational Slam, Fight for VLTs, Glory Game, One Cool Dude, Welchtown, Irish Emperor, Fuhrlang.

World Harmony...Stalk and pounce.
Mary Cole...Could be an interesting firster with Broken Vow on top.
American Angel...Cuts back - adds blinkers.

Networking...Hard to gauge but looks capable on best.
Stanford Dolly...Takes a drop.
Social Statement...Also gets class relief.
My Snookie's Pal.

Al Muhtasib...In for a tag.
Odds On...Similar scenario as top pick.
Atoned...Might have needed the last one.
Thomas Got Even.

Orsonian...Further drop. Victoryoutofthegate...'Fresh face'.
Roman Thunder...Might benefit from the first start.
Whistlin' Dixie.
On dirt: Same plus Ambassador Bridge, Trinity Warrior, Marcellus Shale.

If we are interested in both halves of an entry -- in event of a scratch -- it is noted that way [in other words, both halves are named]. If only one-half of the entry is named, then we prefer that half and will move to our next pick listed [rather than the other half of the entry] in event of a scratch.

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