Equidaily Racing Journal

Today's Best Bets

by Seth Merrow

Saratoga Race Course
Saturday August 13, 2011
Meet Total ... 43-189

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4-9. Winners in the 3rd [$4.40], 5th [$6.00], 6th [$10.00] and 7th [$11.00]. Cold exacta in the 3rd [$9.90/$2] and 5th [$18.40]. Cold tri in the 5th [$42.80]. 6th race, top pick over third selection for a generous exacta [$134.50]. In the 4th second over third selection for the exacta [$63.50]. A cold P3 in R5-7 [$183.00].

23,674 attended and enjoyed a repeat of the near-perfect weather experienced on Thursday -sunny and comfortable.


Jockey 'Beefcake' Charity Calendar Signing - 10:30 to 11:30am outside of the jockeys' room.

The New New York Forum: Racing and Breeding in the VLT Era: Humphrey S Finney Pavilion from 9 to 10am.

Ceremony to Honor Carl Lizza: NYRA will hold a special winner's circle ceremony at noon.

Dugan...Won't let a potential Sheppard Special pass us by -- but this guy has to step it up.
Liberty Cap...Had some trouble when dropped to this level last time. Another chance.
Pico Dinero...Lifetime best Beyer in a good win here early in the meet.
Millenium Jet.

Smokem's Charm...Had some trouble in the debut but eligible to improve with that education under his belt.
The Prize Fighter...OK second in first try. Dam has produced a couple of first-out winners so he should win sooner rather than later.
Little Dale...Speed's always dangerous.
Tug of War.
Jaw Crusher.

Gallant Fields...Could be interesting if able to repeat move forward shown in second start of 2010.
Darley entry...Wall Dance preferred. Might benefit from the start over the track.
Quality Council...Could improve in second start of the season.
August Osage.

Dallaglio...Serious class relief.
Mr Popps...Might be closer early today and the kick will be more dangerous.
Lemon Ghost...A couple of pretty good tries since moving down the claiming ladder.
Miami Ghost.

Imagining...Unlucky to be a maiden after near-miss in debut.
Corporate Jungle...A couple of solid efforts and was behind some next-out winners last time.
Ordained...High early speed.
Dream Man.

How Do I Win...Pletcher/Repole runner was third in debut at 4-5. Should benefit from the education.
Superstructure...Worked 10.1 before 2YO sale.
Clip the Coupons...Dam has produced a first-out winner. Full-sib Cajun Breeze ran third - near-miss for second - behind a runaway winner in his debut.

Polticallycorrect...Dam's first foal - but precociously-bred on top. Trainer Ward is probably better with first-out sprinters, but it's interesting that this one was scratched from a turf sprint early in the meet.
Actuarial...Dam's offspring aren't necessarily win-early - but hanging our hat on the sire producing grass runners.
Our Midnight Run...Some win-early breeding on top.
But You Promised.
Liquidity Trap.

Karakorum Legend...Could be interesting if able to repeat last year's Belmont-to-Saratoga success.
Xodo...Hasn't won since late last year - but running well enough to compete with these.
Screenplay...Three-race win-streak and looks like a fit here.

Power Blast...Just missed in a similar event last time.
Theresmyeveryting...2YO to 3Yo improvement is not our of the question.
Jupiter Trio...Running well on dirt - tries turf today.
All Class.

TENTH RACE - Sword Dancer G1 $500K
Winchester...Tough if able to recapture 2010 top form and could be set to do just that.
Teaks North...Going well now.
Grassy...Has a nice closing kick.

Iron Ore...At least two sibs were runaway first-out winners.
Recipe...Improved finishing position with the drop to this neighborhood of claimer last time.
El Cuadro...Eligible to improve on the drop and with blinkers and Lasix added today. Trainer cold however, with few starters.
Haya's Boy.

If we are interested in both halves of an entry -- in event of a scratch -- it is noted that way [in other words, both halves are named]. If only one-half of the entry is named, then we prefer that half and will move to our next pick listed [rather than the other half of the entry] in event of a scratch.

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