Equidaily Racing Journal



Saturday, April 30, 2011
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes
by Seth Merrow


A very good day to end the month of April thanks to the Churchill Race 6 exacta in the Best Bets section [$226.80/$2] and the San Fran Mile stakes gimmicks down below [ex $382.20/$2, tri $1561.60/$2].

But there were a couple of regrets along the way...

Just couldn't pull the trigger on a straight WP Best Bets play on 29-1 winner Senacher in the Churchill 6th. Looked and looked and debated and debated, but eventually shied away from that call. Thankfully the exacta play in that race came through to mitigate any lasting regret.

And we just didn't foresee the odds and exacta payoffs in that 1st at Tampa. So we didn't exacta box up the three as a Best Bet, settling to use them only in a double play. It stung then when our three ran 1-2-3 in the race and came back with a generous $42.00/$2 exacta - and then our single in the 2nd ran 4th. Doh!

Happily in both races - with the benefit of being able to see the live odds we were able to capitalize live on both the Churchill 6th WPS and the Tampa 1st exacta. Hopefully you did the same!

Turf selections/wagers are turf only

Best Bets

Calder: Race 7... exacta box, AF Hennessey/Indonesian/Drivebymedia... Ran WON-4-scr.
Tampa: Races 1/2... doubles, R1/Ready to Mambo-Chubby-Beautiful Insight... R2/Noontime Diva... Ran R1/WON-2-3... R2/4th.
Tampa: Races 1/2... double, R1/Chubby... R2/Noontime Diva... Ran R1/3rd... R2/4th.
Churchill: Race 6... exacta box, Time Counts/Senacher/Vegas Trip... Collected $226.80/$2.
Delaware: Race 6... WP In Dad's Wallet... Scratched.
Delaware: Race 6... exacta box, Graceontour/The Mimosa Lady/In Dad's Wallet...Collected $14.40/$2.
Hollywood: Race 2... WP Super Candy... Ran 7th at 11-1.
Hollywood: Race 2... exacta box, Wise Guise/Smoking G/Super Candy...Ran 2-5-7.
Hollywood: Race 3... WP, Sir Ed... Collected [7.20, 4.60, 2.80].

WAGERED: $38.00
COLLECTED: $253.00

A = top selection
B = second selection
C = third selection
D = fourth selection
Ab [or Bc, etc]... Move-up top pick [or second pick, etc] after scratches
x = not among our selections

Belmont: Westchester G3 $100K

RESULTS: Cd-x-x... "B" scratched... "A" burned out on the front-end and ran 5th and last at 9-5

Christmas for Liam...Lightly-raced Pletcher 4YO comes out of two good wins going a one-turn mile at GP. Should be set for this assignment.
Soaring Empire...Already a graded stakes winner.
Haynesfield...Super-talented NY-bred will be tough if ready off the layoff.
Caixa Electronica.

Wager: $5 WP on Christmas for Liam.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Calder: Miami Mile Hcp G3 $125K

RESULTS: A-B-x [8.80, 4.40, 3.20] ex, $23.40/$2

Successful Mission...Could be primed for this in third start back.
Voodoo Swinge...Also third start back and also look ready to pop.
Jackson Bend...Showed some hints of promise early in the career. Untested on grass.
Mambo Meister.

Wager: $5 WP on Successful Mission.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Churchill: Derby Trial G3 $200K

RESULTS: x-x-B... "A" ran 6th at 8-5.

Travelin Man...Lightly-raced and improving?
JJs Lucky Train...Seven times in the exacta in eight lifetime starts - including two stakes wins.
Indiano...Always like to sit back and watch one or two from these S American imports - but this guy has done OK in two stateside races.

Wager: $5 WP on Travelin Man.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Golden Gate: San Fran Mile G3 $100K

RESULTS: C-D-B ex $382.20/$2, tri $1561.60/$2... "A" ran 7th at 4-1

Blue Chagall..Just missed in a SoCal G2 last time.
Sebastian Flyte...Not sure this is his distance but clearly will compete with these.
Our Nautique...Might try to steal it.
Gallant Son.
Bold Chieftain.

Wager: $5 WP on Blue Chagall.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four, sub next if scratch.
...$1 tri box top four, sub next if scratch.

Hollywood: Wilshire Hcp G3 $100K

RESULTS: x-B-x ... "A" ran 6th at 7-1.

Talktoomuch...Tries stakes company but looks capable on best.
Lilly Fa Pootz...Meanwhile this one has had a steady diet of stakes outings - but hasn't been in the winner's circle since last summer.
Well Monied...Comes off a long layoff - but yet another that wouldn't be a surprise in a competitive field.
Burg Berg.

Wager: $5 WP on Talktoomuch.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

If we are interested in both halves of an entry -- in event of a scratch -- it is noted that way [in other words, both halves are named]. If only one-half of the entry is named, then we prefer that half and will move to our next pick listed [rather than the other half of the entry] in event of a scratch.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks


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