Equidaily Racing Journal



Saturday, May 31, 2008
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes
by Seth Merrow

Turf wagers are turf only

Best Bets

Churchill, Race 9, Cloudy's Knight.

Thistledown: Ohio Derby G2 $300K

Z Fortune...It's not unusual to look at the lifetime PP's of a Ky Derby runner and have the Derby show up as a black mark on the overall record. This one looked set-up to go well off of the good try in the G2 Arkansas Derby -- but we'll give him the flop in Louisville and expect better today. Gomez onboard.
Smooth Air...Another coming off of a Derby dud that is likely to improve today.
Cherokee Artist...Lightly-raced and could be any kind at this point.

Wager: $5 WP on Z Fortune.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Belmont: Sands Point G2 $150K

I Lost My Choo...Just missed as the luke-warm fave at Keeneland. Should go well again.
Alwajeeha...In front of top pick last time and is certainly dangerous again.
Life Is Sweet...Ran lifetime best Beyer in the Calder Oaks. Signals peak form.

Wager: $5 WP on I Lost My Choo.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Monmouth: Rumson $70K

Double Or Nothing...Cuts back to a sprint. Comes out of a decent third in a G3 behind the promising Harlem Rocker.
Go Go Shoot...Hard to knock the record so far, and fired some big Beyers earlier this year.
True Quality...Early speed from the rail -- dangerous combo on this track.
Indy Joe.

Wager: $5 WP on Double Or Nothing.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Churchill: Dogwood G3 $100K

Tiz to Dream...The pace is the question mark. It looks like it should stack up as hot as the G3 La Troienne -- in which case this gal should be rolling late. But if that speedy opening doesn't materialize...
Alina...Asmussen trainee has been a little inconsistent. The pace scenario will play into her success as well. Not so much if it's fast -- but rather if she's part of a fast pace. She's shown stalking ability in the past -- but might not have that option form the rail.
Keep the Peace...Just missed in the fact-paced La Troienne.
Secret Gypsy.

Wager: $5 WP on Tiz to Dream.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Churchill: Opening Verse Hcp$100K

Cloudy's Knight...Hard to go past this one Beyer-wise. Has to overcome the payoff but works look steady.
Yate's Black Cat...Should find this bunch a little easier than he faced on the Derby undercard.
Rosberg...Always have to take these Darley shippers seriously -- but note that he's never been on turf.
Seaside Retreat.

Wager: $5 WP on Cloudy's Knight.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Churchill: Aristides G3 $125K

Indian Chant...Solid on this track -- including a big win last time, although it should be noted that that race was on an 'off' track.
Noonmark...He fires a big shot occasionally and that last over this track might have him primed.
Elite Squadron...Wow -- what happened last time?!? Whatever -- if he does it again, he'll be tough.

Wager: $5 WP on Indian Chant.
...$4 exacta box top two.
...$1 tri Indian Chant over next three.

Hollywood: Milady Hcp G2 $175K

Zenyatta...Simple: Best until beaten.
Kris' Sis...She seems to be rounding into top form -- but the surface is a question mark.
Foxysox...Another that might be best on turf -- but tough if she goes well on the synthetic here.
Romance is Diane.

Wager: $5 WP on Zenyatta.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Hollywood: Californian G2 $250K

Heatseeker...Really has come into his own under the tutelage of Hollendorfer.
Tiago...Won nicely in his only start on this surface.
Surf Cat.

Wager: $5 exacta box top two.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks


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