Equidaily Racing Journal

Today's Best Bets

by Seth Merrow

Saratoga Race Course
Wednesday, August 1, 2006
Meet Total ... 10-58

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Dark day. No racing.


Rumspringa...Takes a pretty significant drop for a trainer and outfit that seem to really want to rack up the wins at this meet.Looks like there should be some pace to close into.
Auto City...His chances are H-U-G-E [look at the owner and, if you live in upstate NY you'll get the reference...]. Lightly-raced over the past couple of seasons but usually has his running shoes on when he does show up.
Red Crusader...Trainer showing good first-off-the-claim stats.
The Village Vicar.

Lava Cat...This one is kind of interesting. Flopped in debut -- but note that he went off as the fave. Trainer's stock typically improve in their second outing. Trainer also very good moving MSW to mdn clm'r. That angle can often produce some surprises at a price, so we'll take a shot here.
Cross the Atlantic...'The Chief' is also effective going MSW to mdn clm'r.
Double or Nothing...And this one got the wake-up call when he made that transition to claimers last time out.
Mike Lowrey.

Cuaba...The last was such an aberration that it looks like she didn't care for the synthetic surface. Should be in the thick of this with return to dirt.
Trendy Lady...Comes out of same race as top pick at Arlington. She handled that track better -- and has done well on dirt too. The one to beat.
Just Starting...Won a similar race downstate in her latest.

Sweet Ranson...Folded late last time in her stakes debut. She should benefit from that -- and the return to her proper next level.
St Hildegard...Should stalk and be heard form late.
Rasta Farian...Her highwater mark Beyer-wise was her first start over this track last season. Making third start of 2007 and might be primed.
Elisa's Energy.

Stonestreet Song...In what looks like a wide-open MSW event we'll lean in this direction off of the breeding, the connections -- and especially that nice work on 7/18.
Georgetown...Beaten at 4-5 after tardy break at Churchill. Expect better today.
At Attention...Has some precocious breeding.
Elusive Schemes.

Lemon Shore...Fired a big one in return from long layoff. A repeat might be enough to take this.
Mt Orient...Behind the top pick two back. Followed up with a nice win last time in an improved effort.
Lets Get Going...Might not have liked the yielding course in last. Must get in off of AE list.
The Cuban Hawk.
Pegase Jem.

On Fire...A decent debut in what could be a key race.
Tight Grip...Beyers make him the one to beat if he takes to the turf.
Brave Emperor...Just behind top pick last time. Should improve second-out for Mott.
Peace Mon.

EIGHTH RACE - Fleet Indian
Shady Lane...Likely to be some pace and this one can close. Has run well over this track before -- albeit without a win.
Mama Theresa...One of those that should show some early speed. If she manages to sneak away however...
Lauren's Tizzy...Should appreciate return to state-bred ranks.
Karakorum Starlet.

Fantastic Shirl...Hard-knocker is typically part of the action and should be rolling late. AE lister.
Somethinaboutbetty...Has made a career of running well for Pletcher in these minor stakes.
Amansara...Only question mark is how she'll come back off of her 3YO - 4YO break -- but the works look good.
Mo Cuishle.
Captive Melody.

Prom Party...Solid since switching to the turf. Back in alw ranks after an OK stakes try last time.
Lady Carlock...Also has impressed since moving to the grass.
Ruban Bleu...Tossed in a dud last time at 7-5 -- but wouldn't be shocked to see Mott trainee move up on the weeds.

If we are interested in both halves of an entry -- in event of a scratch -- it is noted that way [in other words, both halve are named]. If only one-half of the entry is named, then we prefer that half and will move to our next pick listed [rather than the other half of the entry] in event of a scratch.

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