Equidaily Racing Journal



Saturday, October 20, 2007
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes
by Seth Merrow

Similar to the past couple of weeks it was a real hit-or-miss afternoon -- but the hits offered enough value to move us into positive territory.

The highlights were the boxed tri in the Sleepy Hollow at Belmont [$281.50/$2]. Our top pick, favored Big Turck, was upset, running third, but the value on the play came from our second selection, 30-1 Coastal Drive filling the underneath slot in the exacta. The day's other high point was top selection 15-1 Jibboom winning at Keeneland -- a horse we also included in this week's Best Bets.

WAGERED: $354.00
COLLECTED: $395.10

Note: Did anybody notice that Saturday I labeled the day as "the clam before the storm", saying there weren't many graded stakes with the BC only a week away. Of course that should have been "the calm before the storm." Yeesh. Since clam is a word, spell-check won't flag it. It might have been clammy someplace -- but overall, more calm...

Turf wagers are turf only

Best Bets

As post times played out we were shooting an oh-fer -- and kind of a dismal oh-fer at that -- with only one race remaining for our Best Bets. That last race was the Raven Run at Keeneland and our play, Jibboom, was going off at a generous 15-1. Nothing like a $33 mutuel to turn a bad day around!

Belmont, Race 6, J'ray... Ran 4th at 5-2*.
Belmont, Race 8, Juror... Ran 9th at 5-2*.
Keeneland, Race 3, My Sweet Valor... Ran 8th at 7-2.
Keeneland, Race 9, Jibboom... WON [33.60, 11.80, 6.80].
Santa Anita/Oak Tree, Race 1, Orientate Slew...Ran 3rd at 3-5*.

Belmont: Maid of the Mist $100K

Expect the End 5-2
Meriwether Jessica 3-2*
Sibley 5-1

Wager: $5 WP on Meriwether Jessica.
Collected $6.50 on the WP [xxx, 2.60].
...$4 exacta box top two.
Collected $32.00 on the ex box [$16.00/$2].
...$1 tri key Meriwether Jessica over next three.
Ran 2/1-6-7.

Meriwether Jessica...Just missed last time in second career start. Should benefit from that effort.
Expect the End...Edged top pick last time.
Anita Rosita...Eligible to show improvement.
Honky Tonk Trick.

Belmont: Sleepy Hollow $100K

Giant Moon 7-2
Coastal Drive 30-1
Big Truck 1-5*

Wager: $5 WP on Big Truck.
Ran 3rd.
...$4 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-3.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $73.25 on the ex box [$146.50/$2].
...$1 tri box top four.
Collected $140.75 on the tri box [$281.50/$2].

Big Truck...Has shown plenty of promise in first two starts.
Coastal Drive...Faced open company in first two starts. Now goes first-off the claim for Dutrow.
Be Bullish...Solid in debut.
Giant Moon.

Belmont: Iroquois Hcp $125K

Karakorum Starlet 14-1
Mama Theresa 24-1
Ice Cool Kitty 7-5*

Wager: $5 WP on Light Tactic.
Ran 7th at 9-5.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-7.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-4-7-9.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 3-4-7-9.

Light Tactic...Best until beaten.
Ice Cool Kitty...Better than last -- and should appreciate the cutback.
Scatkey...Seems better since coming back from early summer break.
Stolen Star.

Belmont: Ticonderoga Hcp $150K

Rewrite 5-2
Factual Contender 3-1
Latitude Forty 9-1

Symphony of Pslam scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on J'ray.
Ran 4th at 5-2*.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-4.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $12.80 on the ex box [$25.60/$2].
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-4.

J'ray...Open-graded stakes winner looked to tower over NY-bred rivals at Saratoga -- but flopped as part of the Pletcher 'slump'. Worth a shot to rebound here.
Factual Contender...Likes the track and the trip.
Symphony of Psalms...A little bit disappointing in three 2007 starts but is capable of contending here.

Belmont: Hudson Hcp $125K

Ferocious Fires 5-1
Stormin Normandy 8-5* DQ
I'm a Numbers Guy 11-1

Stormin Normandy finished 1st was DQ'd to 2nd

Wager: $5 WP on Posted.
Ran 8th at 5-2.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-8.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $16.30 on the ex box [$32.60/$2].
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-4-8.

Posted...Wasn't able to pull away in last and faded -- but should gain from that experience.
Stormin Normandy...Improved and undefeated since moving into Dutrow barn.
Ferocious Fires...Undefeated in five starts and comes in off of a bullet work.
Gold and Roses.

Belmont: Mohawk Hcp $150K

Al Basha 6-1
Spurred 9-1
Gimme Credit 5-1

Wager: $5 WP on Juror.
Ran a dismal 9th and last at 5-2*.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-9.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-9.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-9.

Juror...Impressed in two starts vs NY-breds.
Gimme Credit...Back in against state-breds.
Red Zipper...Lightly-raced this season but seems improved as a 4YO and fits here.

Belmont: Empire Classic Hcp $250K

Dr V's Magic 15-1
Who What Win 5-1
Red Run Red 10-1

Wager: $5 WP on Naughty New Yorker.
Ran 4th at 6-5*.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-4.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-3-4-6.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-3-4-6.

Naughty New Yorker...Seems in top form right now and won a nice NY-bred stake over this track in latest.
Run Red Run...Could be interesting making third start of season.
Who What Win...Typically runs well in these events.
Indian Hawke.

Keeneland: Raven Run G2 $300K

Jibboom 15-1
West Coast Swing 2-1*
Mini Sermon 6-1

Wager: $5 WP on Jibboom.
Collected $113.50 on the WP [33.60, 11.80].
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-6.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 1-3-4-6.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-3-4-6.

Jibboom...Has shown a closing kick on turf and that might prove useful here.
Exciting Justice...Ran best yet over the Poly at Turfway.
Look Deep...Comes in off of two nice wins over synthetic surfaces.
Mini Sermon.

Calder: Jackie Wackie $50K

Golden Strategy 1-5*
Golden Flame 8-1
Teddy Ballgame 11-1

Moved off tutrf, no wagers for us.

Art Moderne...Solid comeback win in a similar event.
Jet Propulsion...Should appreciate return to S Florida and could be the one to catch.
Magic Mecke...Usually in the hunt.
Golden Strategy.

Wager: $5 WP on Art Moderne.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks


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