Equidaily Racing Journal



Saturday, June 16, 2007
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes
by Seth Merrow

It was a pretty good day all-around. We had four winners on top in twelve races which produced a solid 35% ROI in that category [Monmouth, $4.20; Churchill, $7.60, 11.00; Colonial, $9.60].

Also picked up a decent smattering of gimmicks with the tri's in the Fleur de Lis and Round Table, the nice exacta in the Regret highlighting the action. Plus our top four combined for superfectas in two races at decent prices.

A fun day.

Turf wagers are turf only

Best Bets

Hey, a decent 10% ROI -- but it could have been much, much better! Zanjero passed Chelokee at the top of the lane and looked like a sure thing when Chelokee pulled a Curlin and came back to nip us late. And that exacta box looked pretty good at the top of the stretch as Quite a Bride pulled away for the win spot with Danzon having the length of the stretch to get up for second -- but she just couldn't pull the trigger. A couple of breaks and it could have been a humdinger. Still, a win is a win...

Churchill, Race 5, Cool Hero... 11th at 15-1.
Churchill, Race 7, Zanjero... 2nd at 4-1 [xxx, 4.00, 2.60].
Churchill, Race 8, exacta box, Quite a Bride/Danzon... Ran 1-3.
Churchill, Race 11, Good Mood... WON [11.00, 5.40, 3.80].
Colonial, Race 10, Adagio... Scratched.

Belmont: Phipps Hcp G1 $300K

Take D'Tour 1-1*
Ginger Punch 7-2
Promenade Girl 24-1

Wager: $5 WP on Ginger Punch.
Collected $9.25 on the WP [xxx, 3.70].
...$5 exacta box top two.
Collected $36.00 on the ex box [$14.40/$2].
...$1 tri key Ginger Punch over next three.
Ran 2/1-4-6.

Ginger Punch...Lightly-raced 4YO from Frankel/Stronach looks ready for this G1 assignment.
Take D'Tour...Winner of this race last year is likely to be the one to catch again.
Miss Shop...Interesting on the turf-to-dirt one-week turnaround for Jerkens.

Monmouth: Eatontown Hcp G3 $150K

Karen's Caper 1-1*
Redaspn 18-1
Roshani 5-1

Wager: $5 WP on Karen's Caper.
Collected $17.50 on the WP [4.20, 2.80].
...$4 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-5.
...$1 tri key Karen's Caper over next three.
Ran 1-4-5-7.

Karen's Caper...Frankel trainee is coming off the bench but will be tough if ready.
Pommes Frites...Another that is fresh off an extended vacation -- but if she's primed she'll be the one to catch.
Rahys' Appeal...She'll contend for a spot on her best effort -- and might give it her moving back to turf.
Prop Me Up.

Churchill: Jefferson Cup G2 $200K

Inca King 8-1
Duveen 4-5*
Jazz Quest 5-1

Wager: $5 WP on Duveen.
Collected $7.00 on the WP [xxx, 2.80].
...$4 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-4.
...$1 tri key Duveen over next three.
Ran 2/3-4-5.
...$1 tri key Lattice over next three.
Ran 4/2-3-5.

Duveen...Impressive since moving to turf -- including graded stakes wins last two.
Lattice...Mott runner could be something special. Lightly-raced but showing plenty of potential.
Trimaran...Should have gained some valuable stakes experience in latest.
Jazz Quest.

Churchill: Northern Dancer BC G3 $200K

Chelokee 1-1*
Zanjero 4-1
Sam P 3-1

Wager: $5 WP on Zanjero.
Collected $10.00 on the WP [xxx, 4.00].
...$2 exacta box top two.
Collected $14.40 on the ex box [$18.40/$2].
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $9.20 on the ex box.
...$1 tri box top four.
Collected $22.20 on the tri box [$44.40/$2].

Zanjero...Readers of this page know we've been high on this one for awhile, but he hasn't gotten it done for us yet as a 3YO. We'll give him one more chance to make a seasonal breakthrough.
Chelokee...On the other hand we haven't been convinced about this one -- but he was impressive last time.
Sam P...Look for a rebound to good form here.
Prom Shoes.

Churchill: Mint Julep Hcp G3 $150K

Quite a Bride 5-2
Magnificient Song 7-2
Danzon 4-5*

Wager: $5 WP on Quite a Bride.
Collected $31.50 on the WP [7.60, 5.00].
...$4 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-3.
...$1 tri key Quite a Bride over next three.
Collected $25.00 on the tri key [$50.00/$2].
...$1 tri key Danzon over next three.
Ran 3/1-2-6.

Quite a Bride...Solid stakes performer from Mott might have a slight pace advantage here.
Danzon...Pretty good showing against the boys last time.
Magnificent Song...Should be tighter second start off the layoff.
Aunt Henny.

Churchill: Fleur De Lis Hcp G2 $300K

Indian Vale 5-2
Asi Siempre 2-1
Kettleoneup 10-1

Ermine [2-1*] ran 4th and complete the $318.80/$2 super.

Wager: $5 WP on Asi Siempre.
Collected $8.50 on the WP [xxx, 3.40].
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-4.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $13.60 on the ex box [$27.20/$2].
...$1 tri box top four.
Collected $87.00 on the tri box [$174.00/$2].

Asi Siempre...Could be ready to pop third start off the bench.
Ermine...Broke through with a G1 win in Arkansas.
Indian Vale...A clunker last time but might not have liked the track conditions.

Churchill: Stephen Foster Hcp G1 $750K

Flashy Bull 6-1
Magna Graduate 7-2
Diamond Stripes 3-1

Wager: $5 WP on Master Command.
Ran 6th at 8-5*.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-6.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-3-6-7.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-3-6-7.

Master Command...Has yet to prove himself at the G1 level -- but certainly looks to fit off of 2007 races thus far.
Diamond Stripes...4YO has only four starts -- but won them all. Could be this good.
Magna Graduate...Capable on best effort.

Churchill: Regret G3 $200K

Good Mood 9-2
You Go West Girl 7-1
Dashes N Dots 9-2

Wager: $5 WP on Good Mood.
Collected $41.00 on the WP [11.00, 5.40].
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-6.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $58.90 on the ex box [$117.80/$2].
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-6-10.

Good Mood...Looks to be on the improve for Biancone.
Swingit...Won a stake over this course last time.
You Go West Girl...Looked good in turf debut.
Sans Reward.

Delaware: Susan's Girl BC $175K

Moon Catcher 13-1
Winning Point 6-5*
Greenstreet 7-1

Wager: $5 WP on Forever Together.
Ran 6th at 7-5.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 4-6.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-3-4-6.

...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-3-4-6.

Forever Together...A neck away from being undefeated and winner in last came back to take another stake.
Bees...Third start off of layoff and improved in first two.
Greenstreet...Going in the right direction.
Winning Point.

Colonial Downs: All Along BC G3 $200K

Silver Charades 7-1
Humoristic 25-1
Bridge Game 10-1

Wager: $5 WP on Grigorieva.
Ran 10th at 9-5.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 5-10.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 1-4-5-10.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-4-5-10.

Grigorieva...Euro-import has run well in two US starts -- but think she's even better than she's shown.
Ballet Pacifica...Useful seasonal debut should have her set nicely for this.
Silver Charades...Trainer Wolfson certainly improved Miesque's Approval for Live Oak. More of the same here?
Dancing Sky.

Colonial Downs: Colonial Turf Cup G3 $750K

Summer Doldrums 7-2
Strike a Deal 5-2
Souvenir Slew 20-1

Adagio scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Adagio.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $10.70 on the ex box [$21.40/$2].
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-7.

Adagio...G3 winner in Europe this year finished behind a couple of tigers in last two. Could prove formidable on this side of the pond.
Summer Doldrums...Off the Derby Trail and onto the turf seems like it was the right move.
Strike a Deal...Has done little wrong on grass.
Brainy Benny.

Hollywood: Round Table Hcp $75K

Stormin Away 3-1
Spring House 5-1
Runaway Dancer 9-5*

Running Free [7-2] completed the $647.80/$2 super.

Wager: $5 WP on Runaway Dancer.
Ran 3rd.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-4.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $25.60 on the ex box [$51.20/$2].
...$1 tri box top four.
Collected $90.80 on the tri box [$181.60/$2].

Runaway Dancer...Might have a class edge on these.
Running Free...Likes the course and won a turf marathon here last month.
Stormin Away...Stakes winner looks to fit with this bunch.
Spring House.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks


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