Equidaily Racing Journal



Saturday, May 19, 2007
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes
by Seth Merrow

Ten pretty solid stakes to look at this afternoon -- highlighted, of course, by the action at Pimlico. The G1 Preakness will tell us if we head to NY with another chance at a Triple Crown -- but the undercard stakes offer some fun and intrigue as well.

Otherwise, some interesting races in NY, NJ, and SoCal.

Turf wagers are turf only

Best Bets

Belmont, Race 2, Brogue.
Monmouth, Race 7, Peerless.
Delaware: Race 1, Momentarily.
Pimlico, Race 7, Grigorieva.
Pimlico, Race 7, exacta box, Grigorieva/Precious Kitten.
Pimlico, Race 9, Soaring By.
Pimlico, Race 9, exacta box, Soaring By/Chelokee.
Hollywood, Race 2, Berkeley Castle.
Hollywood, Race 7, Outra Rafaela.
Hollywood, Race 9, Worldy.

Belmont: Shuvee Hcp G2 $150K

Sugar Shake...Came to life an Santa Anita -- we'll see today if she's an improved 4YO, or just appreciated the SoCal cooking. Likely to get some early pressure from Teammate but will be tough if able to handle that one's pace battle.
Swap Fliparoo...Could benefit from the barnmate's early punch.
Silmaril...Md-invader has looked solid so far in 2007.

Wager: $5 exacta box top two.
...$1 tri key Sugar Shake over next three.

Monmouth: Monmouth Beach $60K

Prop Me up...Likes the track. Like the trip. Moving turf-to-dirt off of a troubled-trip placing.
Maizelle...Expensive yearling purchase is now a lightly-raced 4YO from Pletcher. Has shown some flashes and fits with these.
Peak Maria's Way...Tossed in a few efforts last year that put her in the thick of this and should be fit in second start of the year.
Promenade Girl.

Wager: $5 WP on Prop Me Up.
...$4 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Pimlico: Hirsch Jacobs G3 $100K

Street Magician...The first three starts seemed to portend a budding star - then came the flop in the G3 Withers. Let's toss that and look for a rebound with return to sprint.
Like Mom Like Sons...Hard to fault the career so far -- but questions marks abound with the move off of the Woodbine Poly.
Finallymadeit...Decent third to the talented Weigelia last time -- now back with own age-group.

Wager: $5 WP on Prop Me Up.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Pimlico: Galorette Hcp G3 $100K

Grigorieva...French-import beaten at 4-5 in US debut in a good effort after some early trouble. Look for her to benefit from that and go better today.
Precious Kitten...Likes the turf. Likes the trip. Nice work coming into this. Adds up.
Aunt Henny...Should be stalking early and rolling late.

Wager: $5 WP on Grigorieva.
...$4 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$2 tri box top three.
...$1 tri box top four.

Pimlico: Md BC Sprint Hcp G3 $200K

Diabolical...Up close in last three -- where he was probably facing better.
Fleet Valid...Lightly-raced 4YO finally gets the chance to string a couple together.
Talent Search..Seems to have come to hand recently, including a huge win in a stake on this track in latest.
Semaphore Man.

Wager: $5 WP on Diabolical.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Pimlico: Barbaro $100K

Soaring By...Believe this Pletcher 3YO hasn't shown his best yet. Willing to overlook the two graded stakes clunkers and expect a decent try today.
Chelokee...Has plenty of buzz off of his Florida form -- but we're not convinced yet. Bypassed the G1 Preakness for this spot and is the one to beat.
Silver Express...Should fit with this bunch.
Zephyr Cat.

Wager: $5 WP on Soaring By.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Pimlico: Dixie G2 $250K

Cosmonaut...After a steady diet of G1 competition he easily handled an alw field at KEE last time. Should be primed for a good effort this afternoon.
Remarkable News...Consistently solid winner of over half of his starts.
Einstein...While this one is kind of inconsistent but clearly capable on his best.

Wager: $5 WP on Cosmonaut.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Pimlico: WD Schaefer Hcp G3 $100K

Hesanoldsalt...Zito trainee might be hitting best form as a 4YO.
Flashy Bull...Has been showing improving numbers through first three starts of 2007.
Sunriver...Knocked heads with some of the best of his division last year -- but seasonal debut wasn't much.
Ryan's for Real.

Wager: $5 WP on Hesanoldsalt.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Pimlico: Preakness G1 $1 mil

Street Sense...Having lost half of his lifetime starts means he's not invincible. Clearly at the top of the class -- but he hits the honor roll when racing over Churchill strip. So there are question marks. But the 'new shooters' in here don't conjure up the likes of Bernardini. And with only three starts under his belt this year this guy should still have gas in the tank. Recent work is added encouragement.
Hard Spun...Super-solid effort in the G1 Ky Derby. The big work week prior to that race and the speedball style last time could have taken something out of him, but he came into that race off of a loooong layoff so he should also be fairly fresh.
Circular Quay...His layoff prior to the Derby might have been his undoing. We'll know more after this race -- but he should be tighter and there's no denying that this G1 winner has plenty of talent.
CP West...Warning -- son't ignore this guy in your gimmick wagering. Zito has fired live shots in these Triple Crown races before and we don't have to go back any further than last year when Hemingway's Key completed the tri and 29-1. That one came into the race off a solid work over the training strip at Saratoga. Meanwhile this one fired a near-bullet (2/107) at Belmont five days ago. Third start of season and stretching off of two one-turn races.

Wager: $5 WP on Street Sense.
...$4 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.
...$1 super key Street Sense over next three, plus King of the Roxy.

Hollywood: Will Rogers G3 $100K

Worldy...Beyer fig might be a touch light for this but with only four lifetime starts he has plenty of upside. Euro-import won US debut and second-place finisher Silent Soul won next out with an improved number. Look for this one to move forward as well.
Yario...Another invader from across the pond. Will attract plenty of attention off of the win last time -- but don't forget that was over the downhill course, something of a different animal.
Hurry Home Warren...The one to catch.
Laddies Poker.

Wager: $5 WP on Worldy.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$1 tri box top four.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks


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