Equidaily Racing Journal



Saturday, January 27, 2007
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes
by Seth Merrow

Not a whole lot to get exctied about as these big days often prove somewhat tough with horses shipping and trying new things. That's was the scenario with the Sunshine Millions at Gulfstream and Santa Anita. We got our clock cleaned and Florida -- but managed to salvage a little bit in SoCal. Not much to jump up and down about at the other venues either...

Turf wagers are turf only

Best Bets

We took some shots with some decent prices -- but couldn't connect...

Gulfstream, Race 2, Distorted Reality... 6th at 6-1.
Gulfstream, Race 8, Hot Storm... 3rd at 7-1.
Gulfstream, Race 9, Rich in Spirit... 8th at 5-1.
Gulfstream, Race 10, Rehoboth... 7th at 15-1.
Oaklawn, Race 8, Kauai Calls... 8th at 5-1.
Santa Anita, Race 4, Nightmare Affair... 5th at 6-1.

Aqueduct: Paumonok Hcp $65K

Bishop Court Hill 5-2
Attila's Storm 3-5*
Super Fuse 15-1

Wager: $5 WP on Wild Jam.
5th at 6-1.
...$4 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-6.

Wild Jam...Ran a decent third in this race last year in second-back from a layoff. Similar set-up this year and should have some pace to shoot at.
Attila's Storm...Comes out of three G1 tries, so perhaps there's a class-edge. Speed and Lopez onboard make him the one to catch.
Bishop Court Hill...We're hoping this guy can keep Attila company early. This one won this race last year in near gate-to-wire fashion.
Super Fuse

Laurel: Nellie Morse $100K

Lexi Star 2-1
It's True Love 7-1
Yolanda B Too 4-5*

Wager: $5 WP on Lexi Star.
Collected $27.00 on the WP (6.60, 4.20).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-3.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 1-3-4-6.

...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-3-4-6.

Lexi Star...Lightly raced 5YO might have bounced a little last time. Last couple were two of her better tries since early in the career so maybe she's rounding into top form.
Yolanda B Too...NY-based runner has taken a liking to Maryland. Capable on best.
Katie's Love...Hasn't won since last summer but is usually in the hunt.
Fleet Ballado.

Oaklawn: Dixie Belle $50K

Devil House 9-2
Cat On a Cloud 3-2*
Time's Mistress 14-1

Miss Goodnight scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Kauai Calls.
Ran 8th at 5-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 6-8.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-6-8.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-6-8.

Kauai Calls...Showed plenty of promise with two sprints wins at Saratoga. Faltered in a two-turn stake thereafter. Can rebound with return to sprint.
Dancing Dudete...Moving in the right direction.
Cat On a Cloud...Might have needed her last.
Miss Goodnight.

Gulfstream: SM Dash $250K

Storm in May 26-1
Idiot Proof 11-1
Texas Voyager 7-2

Wager: $5 WP on Ididn'tdoanything.
Ran 4th at 3-1*.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 4-11.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 4-6-10-11.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 4-6-10-11.

Ididn'tdoanything...Undefeated in two starts and certainly showing some promise -- but both wins were on the synthetic strip, so there are questions to be answered.
Can This Be True...Nice improvement from start #1 to start #2. A repeat of last puts him in the thick of this.
Another Kris...Yet another that is undefeated in two starts. Comes in from NoCal however, so the competition is suspect.
Felonius Monk.

Gulfstream: SM F/M Sprint $300K

Shaggy Mane 8-1
Swap Fliparoo 5-1
Hot Storm 7-1

Wager: $5 WP on Hot Storm.
Ran 3rd.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-5.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-7.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-7.

Hot Storm...Leery of taking one from this post but think she's better than last and she might bounce back and offer a little value.
Coli Bear...Nice turn of foot. Specializes at this trip. Layoff is a concern, but working well.
May Day Vow...Can't ignore off the latest -- but it was such an improvement that it could be an aberration. The post won't help either.

Gulfstream: SM F/M Turf $500K

Miss Shop 5-1
Memorette 5-1
Charmsil 9-2

Wager: $5 WP on Rich in Spirit.
Ran 8th at 5-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-8.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-4-6-8.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 3-4-6-8.

Rich in Spirit...Graded stakes winner should be set up nicely for this coming off of a win vs the boys at Tampa.
Charmsil...Third in this race last year, she's typically somewhere in the mix.
Prop Me Up...Another that doesn't toss in too many bad efforts.
Bayou's Lassie.

Gulfstream: SM Classic $1 mil

McCann's Mojave 33-1
Summer Book 42-1
Silver Wagon 3-1

Wager: $5 WP on Rehoboth.
Ran 7th at 15-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 5-7.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-7 ...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-7.

Rehoboth...Got very good at Calder. Had too much to do late against fast-early and late pace in G3 Hal's Hope last time. The pace should be slightly more comfortable today and hopefully Mr Cruz will have him a little closer early than the last two.
Sweetnorthernsaint...We'd be tempted to put this one on top but the outside post is a lot to overcome. Also don't ignore that those two nice races in Oct and Nov were in 3-horse fields. We'll know more today.
Dry Martini...Hopefully this closer can save some ground from the rail and not get shuffled back too far early.
Silver Wagon.

Santa Anita: SM Oaks $250K

Mistical Plan 2-1*
Tiz Elemental 10-1
Double Major 12-1

Wager: $5 WP on Mistical Road.
Collected $25.50 on the WP (6.20, 4.00).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-9.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $35.00 on the ex box ($70.00/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-5-9.

Mistical Plan...Should appreciate the return to sprinting.
Toll Road...Really stepped it up in her second career start -- but the post position is a knock.
Sekira...Showed good speed and held well for third going 7F in a G2 last time. Cuts back to 6F today.
Tiz Elemental.

Santa Anita: SM Distaff $500K

Joint Effort 6-1
Take D'Tour 6-5*
Getback Time 18-1

Wager: $5 WP on Take D'Tour.
Collected $8.00 on the WP (xxx, 3.20).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-5.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $19.20 on the ex box ($38.40/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-5-8.

Take D'Tour...Looks like a couple in here that can offer some early pace pressure, but this gal showed the ability to relax two back. G! winner should appreciate the restricted company.
Somethinaboutlaura...Talented mare seldom misses a check.
Joint Effort...Came off of a similar layoff to win this race last year -- albeit in Florida.
Friel's for Real.

Santa Anita: SM Sprint $300K

Smokey Stover 7-1
Proud Tower Too 5-1
Bordonaro 1-1*

Wager: $5 WP on Nightmare Affair.
Ran 5th at 6-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-5.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-3-5-7.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-3-5-7.

Nightmare Affair...How long have we been chasing this guy? Too long to give up now!
Bordonaro...Legit contender for the 2006 Sprint Eclipse. A G1 winner and the one to beat in here.
Proud Tower Too...Went to the sidelines after big Dubai win last year. Now back on track with a decent race under his belt on New Year's Day.

Santa Anita: SM Turf $500K

Lava Man 3-5*
Icy Atlantic 26-1
Go Between 8-1

Wager: $5 WP on Lava Man.
Collected $16.00 on the WP (3.40, 3.00).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-10.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 1-3-4-10.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-3-4-10.

Lava Man...We thought he deserved HOTY acclaim in 2006 -- so how can we go against him here?
Sherwood Park...Like the set-up making fourth start off the layoff and going 6f, 6f, 1M and then into this 9F race.
Go Between...Mott turfer was solid mid-way into 3YO season then faltered a little late. Potential to rebound nicely off the layoff.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks


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