Equidaily Racing Journal



Saturday, January 20, 2007
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes
by Seth Merrow


Turf wagers are turf only

Best Bets

Not a bad day. With the exacta box we had ten bets out there -- we collected on three of them for a 19% positive ROI. Rush Rush was coming like a freight train at Santa Anita but ran out of ground -- one of the few Gomez lost on a day he scored a five-bagger!

Aqueduct, Race 4, Chaldean's Rocket... 5th at 5-1.
Gulfstream, Race 1, Tougher 'n Most... 4th at 7-2.
Gulfstream, Race 8, Biddy's Gap... 5th at 17-1.
Gulfstream, Race 10, Proclamation... WON [14.40, 6.40, 4.60].
Tampa, Race 4, Cabbage Key... WON [4.00, 3.00, 2.40].
Fair Grounds, Race 1, Smoke Talk... WON [5.40, 3.60, 2.80].
Fair Grounds, Race 7, exacta box, Sonoma Song/Rise N Go... Ran 2-4.
Oaklawn, Race 4, Tammy's Victress... 5th at 5-2.
Santa Anita, Race 7, Rush Rush... 3rd at 4-1 [xxx, xxx, 3.20].


Our Head-to-Head feature pits Coast-to-Coast's Seth Merrow against DRF's Weekend Warrior, Mike Watchmaker. Whenever the two columns make selections in the same race we'll tally the results for each.

After taking it to the 'Warrior' in 2006 we're in the unusual position of chasing early in 2007 as WW has gotten off to a nice start this season...

This week's matchup races Seth Merrow/Equidaily.com's Coast-to-coast Mike Watchmaker/DRF's Weekend Warrior
Gulfstream: First Lady 2nd at 3-1/Contrast WON/Any Limit [7.60].
Fair Grounds: Truly Bound Hcp 3rd at 7-2/Dash of Humor 6th at 3-1/Lady Pegasus
Oaklawn: American Beauty 5th at 5-2/All for Fashion 3rd at 2-1/Tax Refund
This Week 3-0-1-1 3-1-0-1
YTD/win mutuel 9-1-3-2, $8.00 9-3-3-2, $23.20
(Head-to-Head results above are only for those races which were common to both columns. Weekend Warrior might have tabbed other races not reflected in the results above.)

Aqueduct: Aqueduct Hcp G3 $100K

Liquor Cabinet 6-5*
Angliana 6-1
Naughty New Yorker 4-1

Wager: $5 WP on Liquor Cabinet.
Collected $18.25 on the WP [4.40, 2.90].
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-5.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $14.10 on the ex box [$28.20/$2].
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-5-7.

Liquor Cabinet...Lightly raced 6YO is coming off the bench again but seemed to really put it together in his 5YO season and has done well on this track. Nice work five days ago.
Mayan King...Another that hasn't been able to string many together but David Cassidy owned runner was a hopeful early on the Derby Trail in 2005 and has shown flashes backing up that talent since.
Angliana...In the hunt more often than not.
Silver Prospector.

Gulfstream: First Lady Hcp G3 $100K

Any Limit 5-2
Contrast 3-1
Actslikealady 22-1

Wager: $5 WP on Contrast.
Collected $10.50 on the WP [xxx, 4.20].
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-5.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $14.20 on the ex box [$28.40/$2].
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-5-7.

Contrast...5YO with only five lifetime starts -- but when she hits the track she's proven to be tough. Bred to be good and has won four of five so far.
Malibu Mint...Huge win at Calder last summer looks like a little bit of an aberration -- but she's certainly good enough on her best.
Annabill...Seldom misses the board.
Any Limit.

Tampa: Gasparilla $60K

Suaveness 69-1
Foret 9-5*
Pretoria Light 7-2

Runway Queen scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Bianco.
Ran 6th at 2-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-6.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-3-6.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-3-6.

Bianco...Lightly raced so there's some upside -- but he's done well so far. Two wins in four starts -- and the non-wins were second-place finishes, both in stakes.
Foret...Closed to just miss in a stake here last time. Gets another furlong.
Runway Queen...Better than last.
Pretoria Light.

Laurel: Fire Plug $100K

Ah Day 7-2
Crafty Schemer 7-5*
Gold Cluster 92-1

Wager: $5 WP on Craft Schemer.
Collected $8.00 on the WP [xxx, 3.20].
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-5.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $14.00 on the ex box [$28.00/$2].
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-4-5.

Crafty Schemer...Comes in off a brief layoff but ran fourth to Thor's Echo in G1 DeFrancis last time and should be tough if ready.
City Weekend...Likes this track and should be set for a good try.
Ah Day...Last just looks so out of character that we'll toss and look for a rebound to prior good form.
Celtic Innis.

Laurel: What a Summer $100K

Silmaril 1-2*
Scheing E Jet 9-2
La Chica Rica 5-1

Wager: $5 WP on Silmaril.
Collected $13.00 on the WP [3.00, 2.20].
...$2 exacta box top two.
Collected $8.40 on the ex box [$8.40/$2].
...$1 tri key Silmaril over next three.
Collected $10.30 on the tri key [$20.60/$2].

Silmaril...Been a little bit inconsistent the past two seasons but when she's good she's very good and she does her best running on this track.
Scheing E Jet...Typically in the hunt.
Yolanda B Too...Gets a chance to drop back to what might be her best distance.
La Chica Rica.

Fair Grounds: Gentilly $75K

Power Surge 2-1
Hallway 9-5*
Forgotten Prince 2-1

Moved off turf. No wagers.

Hallway...Have a feeling this Asmussen runner might be a bit better than these.
Forgotten Prince...Got the wake-up call when dropping in against state-breds.
Power Surge...Experience counts and this guy is already stakes-placed.
Mr Porter.

Wager: $5 WP on Hallway.
...$4 exacta box top two.
...$1 tri box top three.
...$1 tri key Hallway over next three.

Fair Grounds: Truly Bound BC Hcp $75K

Delicate Dynamite 12-1
Eyes on Eddy 5-1
Dash of Humor 7-2

Wager: $5 WP on Dash of Humor.
Ran 3rd.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-7.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-4-6-7.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 3-4-6-7.

Dash of Humor...Had been turfing but won an off-the-turfer last time and might be better on dirt.
Stormy Amber...Has won four of last five.
Ballroom Deputy...This is a solid stakes performer -- but note that the worst performance showing on the PPs is her try in this race last year [which was at Louisiana Downs].
Lady Pegasus.

Oaklawn: American Beauty $50K

Country Diva 36-1
Fast Deal 28-1
Tax Refund 2-1

Wager: $5 WP on All for Fashion.
Ran 5th at 5-2.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 5-6.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-8.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-8.

All for Fashion...Should be rolling late.
True Tails...Dangerous. Looks like the one to catch.
Miss Elsie...Horse for the course.

Santa Anita: Palos Verdes Hcp G2 $150K

Friendly Island 1-2*
Harvard Avenue 2-1
Limited Creole 8-1

Wager: $10 quinella top two.
No quinella offered.

Friendly Island...Hmmm, firing big numbers and facing good company -- but only one win last year.
Harvard Avenue...Looks to be coming into this in top form.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks


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