Equidaily Racing Journal



Saturday, January 13, 2007
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes
by Seth Merrow


Turf wagers are turf only

Best Bets

Aqueduct, Race 8, Great Intentions... WON [4.40, 3.20, 2.40]
Gulfstream, Race 3, Cuaba... 4th at 3-1.
Gulfstream, Race 4, Gliding Around... 11th at 6-1.
Fair Grounds, Race 5, Storm Treasure... 7th at 6-1.
Fair Grounds, Race 7, Follow the Lite... 2nd @ 7-2 [xxx, 3.80, 3.00]
Fair Grounds, Race 8, Whatdreamsrmadeof... 4th at 2-1.
Fair Grounds, Race 9, Makeithapencaptain... 4th at 5-1.
Santa Anita, Race 4, Celtic Sword... 8th at 5-1.


Our Head-to-Head feature pits Coast-to-Coast's Seth Merrow against DRF's Weekend Warrior, Mike Watchmaker. Whenever the two columns make selections in the same race we'll tally the results for each.

This week's matchup races Seth Merrow/Equidaily.com's Coast-to-coast Mike Watchmaker/DRF's Weekend Warrior
Fair Grounds: Col Bradley 7th at 6-1/Storm Treasure WON at 5-2/Purim [7.60, 4.20, 3.40].
Fair Grounds: Lecomte 4th at 5-1/Makeithapencaptain 2nd at 9-2/Izzy's Halo
Santa Anita: San Fernando 2nd at 2-1/Midnight Lute 2nd at 2-1/Midnight Lute
This Week 3-0-1-0 3-1-2-0
YTD/win mutuel 6-1-2-1, $8.00 6-2-3-1, $15.60
(Head-to-Head results above are only for those races which were common to both columns. Weekend Warrior might have tabbed other races not reflected in the results above.)

Aqueduct: Affectionately Hcp $65K

Great Intentions 6-5*
Homerette 5-1
Victory Pool 7-2

Wager: $5 W on Great Intentions.
Collected $11.00 on the W ($4.40).
...$5 exacta box Great Intentions/Victory Pool.
Ran 1/3.
...$1 tri key Great Intentions over next three.
Collected $23.00 on the tri key ($46.00/$2).

Great Intentions...Sprinter stretches -- but should have a pace edge on this bunch.
Victory Pool...Likes this track. Won a small stake here in latest -- which was first after a short break.
Dina...Looks to be in good form now.

Gulfstream: Marshua's River $75K

Bright Abundance 6-1
Naissance Royale 3-5*
Calla Lily 12-1

Wager: $5 WP on Naissance Royale.
Collected $6.00 on the WP [xxx, 2.40].
...$2 exacta box top two.
Collected $25.40 on the ex box ($25.40/$2).
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $12.70 on the ex box.
...$1 tri box top four.
Collected $72.10 on the tri box ($144.20/$2).

Naissance Royale...Hard to go past this graded-stakes performer in this spot.
Bright Abundance...Barnmate of top pick is typically in the hunt.
Thetactics Ofdance...Should be rolling late and liable to add some value to the play.
Calla Lily.

Tampa: Pelican $60K

Roman Candles 11-1
Wonone 6-1
D'artagnans'spirit 8-5*

Guapeton scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on D'artagnans'spirit.
Ran 3rd at 8-5.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-5.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-3-5.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-3-5.

D'artagnans'spirit...Looks to be in good form now. Comes in off of cross-state win -- but has won on this track.
Valid Video...Should find some class relief here.
Guapeton...Ran best yet in first try on this surface. Working well. Must overcome post however.

Laurel: Native Dancer $100K

Judiths Wild Rush 3-1
DQ - Your Bluffing 11-1
Easy Red 16-1

Your Bluffing finished 1st DQ'd to 2nd

Wager: $5 WP on Reckless Ways.
Ran 5th at 7-2.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 5-8.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-8.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-8.

Reckless Ways...Big win four back in first off of layoff -- might be cycling back to that level over following three starts.
Tarlet...Solid stakes tries in last four starts.
City Attraction...Our heart-breaking 10-1 winner from Saratoga in 2005 [we played him at 63-1 in debut where he finished a dismal tenth -- then stayed onboard less than two weeks later, expecting huge odds -- but getting only that 10-1 for his win]. Stretches to one mile but has been running well since moving to Dutrow.
Easy Red.

Fair Grounds: Col ER Bradley Hcp $100K

Purim 5-2
Fort Prado 8-5*
Cloudy's Knight 11-1

Wager: $5 WP on Storm Treasure.
Ran 7th at 6-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-7.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-3-7-DNF.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-3-7-DNF.

Storm Treasure...Had some early 3YO promise but really seemed to start to come around late last summer.
Fort Prado...Consistent 6YO has won almost half his starts on turf. Coupled with Mystery Giver, another solid turfer.
Arbuckle Bandit...Stepped up his game since moving to the grass.
Cloudy's Knight.

Fair Grounds: Col Power $100K

Venomous 9-1
Clock Stopper 3-1*
Meteor Impact 7-2

Wager: $5 WP on Smalltown Slew.
Ran 4th at 9-2.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran ran 3-4.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-6.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-6.

Smalltown Slew...Hasn't missed a check in a long time. Comes in off of two near-misses on this track.
Meteor Impact...Last four start were all impressive -- but against La-breds, and he's only raced four times since April. Nice work for this.
Santana Strings...Decent try last time in comebacker -- could be tighter today.
Monkey Hill.

Fair Grounds: Leggio Memorial $100K

Smitty's Sunshine 6-5*
Follow the Lite 7-2
No Fair 14-1

Comalagold scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Follow the Lite.
Collected $9.50 on the WP (xxx, 3.80).
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $8.50 on the ex box ($17.00/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-5.

Follow the Lite...Big closing effort in sprint stake last time -- but that was on dirt. Gone well on grass previously though.
Comalagold...Returns to turf which is probably her preferred surface.
Smitty's Sunshine...All three wins have been on grass.
Candy Ball.

Fair Grounds: Tiffany Lass $100K

Get Ready Bertie 9-5*
Dawn After Dawn 28-1
Stage Stop 8-1

Jersey Bond scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Whatdreamsrmadeof.
Ran 4th at 2-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-4.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 1-3-4.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-3-4.

Whatdreamsrmadeof...Beyers have improved with each start and often they'll improve even further off of a short break.
Get Ready Bertie...Experience counts and this one is already stakes-placed.
Jersey Bond...Solid debut. Doesn't have to move forward to much to fit here.
Stage Stop.

Fair Grounds: LeComte G3 $100K

Hard Spun 1-1*
Izzie's Halo 9-2
Teuflesberg 7-2

Wager: $5 WP on Makeithapencaptain.
Ran 4th at 5-1.
...$4 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-4.
...$1 tri key Makeithapencaptain over next three.
Ran 4/1-2-6.
...$1 tri key Hard Spun over other three.
Ran 1/2-4-6.

Makeithapencaptain...Was dominant when stretched to two turns. Get tested for class today.
Hard Spun...Legit fave is undefeated and untested in three tries. Clearly the one to beat.
Tony Terrific...2-2, both around two turns. Goes turf-to-dirt.
Izzie's Halo.

Santa Anita: San Rafael G2 $150K

Notional 3-5*
Tenfold 3-1
Grapelli 7-1

Wager: $5 WP on Silent Soul.
Ran 4th at 5-1.
...$4 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-4.
...$1 tri key Silent Soul over next three.
Ran 4/1-2-3.

Silent Soul...Interesting. Beyer figure improved in G1 HOL Futurity but pace scenario might have worked against him. With the improving numbers we'll give him another chance.
Notional...Still has to live up to that debut number. Adds blinkers today and might be the one to catch.
Grapelli...Might be one that just took a few starts to get the hang of it.

Santa Anita: San Fernando BC G2 $200K

Awesome Gem 9-1
Midnight Lute 2-1
Brother Derek 8-5*

Wager: $5 WP on Midnight Lute.
Collected $10.50 on the WP (xxx, 4.20).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-6.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-3-4-6.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-3-4-6.

Midnight Lute...Lightly raced 4YO has improving Beyers with each start. Nice try in G1 Malibu should have him ready for this.
Spring At Last...Just edged top pick for second in latest.
Brother Derek...Second in the G2 Goodwood on this track three back -- and, of course, went well here last spring.
Arson Squad.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks


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