Equidaily Racing Journal



Saturday, July 15, 2006
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes
by Seth Merrow

Seven winners on top in nineteen races [Belmont $3.40; Monmouth $6.40; Delaware $2.60, $3.60; Churchill $3.40; Calder $3.00; Colonial $8.60].

WAGERED: $720.00
COLLECTED: $616.80

Turf wagers are turf only

Best Bets

Finger Lakes, Race 8, Fire One Up... 3rd at 5-2 (xxx, xxx, 4.30).
Calder, Race 8, Kaufy Machine... Scratched.
Churchill, race 10, exacta box Rich in Spirit/Sweet Science... Scratched.
Colonial, Race 9, Go Between... WON (8.60, 4.20, 3.40).


Our Head-to-Head feature pits Coast-to-Coast's Seth Merrow against DRF's Weekend Warrior, Mike Watchmaker. Whenever the two columns make selections in the same race we'll tally the results for each.

This week's matchup races Seth Merrow/Equidaily.com's Coast-to-coast Mike Watchmaker/DRF's Weekend Warrior
Delaware: Delaware Oaks 5th at 4-5*/Hystericalady 3rd at 6-1/Gasia
Colonial: Va Derby WON/Go Between [$8.60] 5th at 3-1/Proudinsky
Calder: Smile Sprint Hcp 4th at 9-1/Kelly's Landing 4th at 9-1/Kelly's Landing
This Week 3-0-2-0 3-0-0-1
YTD/win mutuel 66-17-10-8, $112.30 66-7-9-13, $48.30
(Head-to-Head results above are only for those races which were common to both columns. Weekend Warrior might have tabbed other races not reflected in the results above.)

Belmont: Bowling Green Hcp G2 $150K

Go Deputy 3-5*
Crown Point 11-1
Leadwithyourchin 8-1

Request for Parole scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Go Deputy.
Collected $14.25 on the WP (3.40, 2.30).
...$4 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-4.
...$1 tri key Go Deputy over next three.
Ran 1/4-5.
...$1 tri key Gigli over next three.
Ran 4/1-5.

Go Deputy...Pletcher turfer is always in the hunt -- but is short on wins over the past couple of seasons. No lock -- but this is a pretty tepid G2 event.
Gigli...Frankel runner will be mighty dangerous is able to re-capture her best form in second start off of the long layoff.
Rochester...10YO makes his second start of 2006 and also should benefit from less-than-strong G2 competition.
Request for Parole.

Finger Lakes: NY Derby $150K

Ferocious Way 8-5*
Shuffling Maddnes 9-2
Fire One Up 5-2

Wager: $5 WP on Fire One Up.
Ran 3rd.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-3.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected 14.00 on the ex box ($28.00/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Collected $31.00 on the tri box $62.00/$2).

Fire One Up...Could prove interesting stretching out off of a string of one-turn races.
Ferocious Way...After taking the Mike Lee this one is in line for a big bonus with a sweep of this race and the Albany at Saratoga. Has been pretty good this year -- but not invincible.
Shuffling Maddnes...Seems to have gotten the hang of it since breaking his maiden.
Indian Hawke.

Monmouth: Elkwood $60K

Ashkal Way 2-1
Hotstufanthensome 2-1*
Pulpit Talk 11-1

Wager: $5 WP on Ashkal Way.
Collected $24.00 on the WP (6.40, 3.20).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-4.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $11.00 on the ex box ($22.00/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-4-7.

Ashkal Way...2-2 since arriving. Ready for this minor stakes assignment.
Senor Swinger...Looks like this former Baffert/Lewis runner has changed hands. Graded-stakes level performer finds some class relief in first start for new connections.
Gulch Approval...Certain to play some catch-me-if-you-can.

Monmouth: Long Branch BC G3 $150K

Praying for Cash 4-1
Latent Heat 1-2*
Victory Lake 7-1

Wager: $10 exacta Latent Heat over Throng, sub next if scratch(es).
Ran 2/4.
...$4 exacta Latent Heat over Gottcha Gold.
Ran 2/4.
...$2 exacta Latent Heat over Praying for Cash.
Ran 2/1.

Latent Heat...Grabbed a piece of this guy in this year's Derby future book -- but he took a short vacation after finishing third in the G2 Santa Catalina. Comeback win against older says he's ready to be heard from in 3YO division.
Throng...A little bit inconsistent but Pletcher trainee is tough on best effort.
Gottcha Gold...Solid win prepping for this. Unlikely to have it that easy on the front-end today however.
Praying for Cash.

Delaware: RG Dick Memorial BC Hcp $300K

Honey Ryder 1-5*
Olaya 7-2
Latice 6-1

Wager: $5 WP on Honey Ryder.
Collected $11.75 on the WP (2.60, 2.10).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Collected $5.60 on the ex box ($5.60/$2).
...$1 exacta box top four, sub next if scratch.
Collected $2.80 on the ex box.
...$1 tri box top four, sub next if scratch.
Collected $4.30 on the tri box ($8.60/$2).

Honey Ryder...Has been very consistent for a long time. Last two were probably her best yet.
Olaya...Hasn't missed an exacta in four tries since coming stateside.
Latice...Hasn't quite lived up to the promise we felt she showed in her US debut at Saratoga last summer -- but she's typically in the hunt.
Cozy Gain.

Delaware: Carpenter Jr Memorial Hcp $100K

Survivalist 4-5*
MB Sea 7-2
Who's Crying now 16-1

Wager: $5 WP on Survivalist.
Collected $16.00 on the WP (3.60, 2.80).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-5.
...$1 exacta box top four, sub next if scratch.
Ran 1-4-5-6.
...$1 tri box top four, sub next if scratch.
Ran 1-4-5-6.

Survivalist...He was a future book play for us in last year's Ky Derby. 3YO season kind of petered out early but it looks like they have him in top form now.
Smart Growth...Blasted a big win last time -- fluke, or is he another in career form now?
Mighty Mecke...Seems to have found a home at Delaware.
Play Bingo.
MB Sea.

Delaware: Delaware Oaks G2 $500K

Adieu 5-2
Amandatude 15-1
Gasia 6-1

Wager: $5 WP on Hystericalady.
Ran 5th at 4-5*.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-5.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $39.50 on the ex box ($79.00/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Collected $157.60 on the tri box ($31520/$2).

Hystericalady...Always have to be a little leery of the NoCal-based runners -- but this gal shipped to Hollywood and won a G2 convincingly last time out.
Amandatude...We liked her in the prep for this. She came up short that day -- but we think she's better than that.
Gasia...Has won three of her last four, including the prep stake for this.

Churchill: Locust Grove Hcp G3 $150K

Rich in Spirit 3-5*
Cape hope 22-1
Pyrana 3-1

Wager: $5 WP on Rich in Spirit.
Collected $15.50 on the WP (3.40, 2.80).
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 1-5-6.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-5-6.

Rich in Spirit...Graded stakes winner last year has successfully transitioned to competing against older as a 4YO.
Sweet Science...Only missed the board once in her career.
More Than Promised...Could be ready for a good one in third start of 2006.

Calder: Azalea BC G3 $300K

Victorina 9-5*
G City Gal 2-1
Frolicing 5-1

Frolicing finished 2nd, DQd to 3rd

Wager: $5 WP on Frolicing.
Ran 2nd DQ'd to 3rd.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-[2]3.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $8.60 on the ex box ($17.20/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Collected $25.30 on the tri box ($50.60/$2).

Frolicing...She's gotten the hang of it.
Victorina...Speedy miss from Lost in the Fog connections is 5-3-2-0 at the trip.
G City Gal.

Calder: Turf Sprint Hcp $100K

Gin Rummy Champ 4-1
Sgt Bert 7-1
Whata Soldier 5-2

Kaufy Machine scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Kaufy Machine.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 1-3-5.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-3-5.

Kaufy Machine...Both halves of entry look good -- but this half preferred. Hasn't tried the grass yet, but he's speedy.
Gin Rummy Champ...Solid win in stake this track and trip last time.
Love My Mountain...Fizzled in lone stake try showing on PPs -- but he's pretty solid when in the mood.
Whata Solider.

Calder: Carry Back G2 $300K

Too Much Bling 1-2*
Mach Ride 8-1
Blazing Rate 20-1

Wager: $5 WP on Too Much Bling.
Collected $13.50 on the WP (3.00, 2.40).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-5.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $6.00 on the ex box ($12.00/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-4-5.

Too Much Bling...Knocked off the throne in this division by Songster -- but that foe isn't here today.
Northern Soldier...Undefeated. Beat Arson Squad last time and that one upset AP Warrior and Point Determined last weekend.
Mach Ride...Steady, improving numbers with each start.
Laptop Computer.

Calder: Princess Rooney Hcp G1 $500K

Malibu Mint 23-1
Prospective Saint 13-1
Hot Storm 7-1

Wager: $5 WP on Dubai Escapade.
Ran 6th at 1-5*.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-6.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-4-6-7.
...$1 tri key Dubai Escapade over next three.
Ran 6/3-4-7.

Dubai Escapade...Five race win-streak including a couple of G2s. She looks like the real deal.
Hot Storm...Capable of running huge as evidenced by Sunshine Millions win three back.
Ebony Breeze...6YO has hit the board in 28 of 36 lifetime starts.
Leave Me Alone.

Calder: Smile Sprint Hcp G2 $500K

Nightmare Affair 14-1
Pomeroy 11-1
Weigelia 13-1

Wager: $5 WP on Kelly's Landing.
Ran 4th at 14-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 4-9.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 4-7-9-13.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 4-7-9-13.

Kelly's Landing...Last visit to Florida produced a big-number win. This seems to be his best distance.
Lost in the Fog...Gets tested today. Might be the toughest field he's faced since the BC Sprint.
Gaff... Late 2005/early 2006 form indicates this one could vie for a place at the top of this division.
Friendly Island.

Colonial: Va Derby G2 $1 mil

Go Between 3-1
Seaside Retreat 6-1
Spider Power 14-1

Steppenwolfer scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Go Between.
Collected $32.00 on the WP (8.60, 4.20).
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 1-5-7.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-5-7.

Go Between... We liked him in the Colonial Turf Cup. Wacky pace scenario didn't work for him that day but he ran well. Expect another good effort and if Kip Deville gets some company up front then this one should have an improved finish.
Steppenwolfer...Was competing with the best in the division on dirt. Will be tough if takes to turf -- and 7/2 work says he should.
Roman Dynasty...Pletcher 3YO is lightly raced but looks to have plenty of potential.

Canterbury: Lady Canterbury BC $100K

Radiant Avie 5-1
Rue des Reves 3-1
Stretching 1-2*

Wager: $5 WP on Stretching.
Ran 3rd.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-5.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $35.10 on the ex box ($70.20/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Collected $110.30 on the tri box ($220.60/$2).

Stretching...Looks to be improving for trainer Stidham and comes out of a decent effort in a G3 at Lone Star.
Aimer...Seems to have turned the corner this spring down in Kentucky.
Rue des Reves...Defending champ in this race comes in off of two nice races in Texas.
Radiant Avie.

Canterbury: Claiming Crown Tiara $100K

Tens Holy Spirit 13-1
Spy Aly 6-1
Moorabella 9-2

Wager: $5 WP on Strong Faith.
Ran 10th at 6-5*.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-10.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-3-5-10.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-3-5-10.

Strong Faith...Finds cozy spot against claimers -- coming in with three stakes win in last four starts.
Moorbella...Have to think she was claimed last time with an eye towards this race.
Coded Princess...Sure, Pletcher's always dangerous -- just not sure the Claiming Crown is his game.
Spy Aly.

Canterbury: Claiming Crown Emerald $100K

Al's Dearly Bred 7-2
Nooligan 6-1
Bodgiteer 8-1

Wager: $5 WP on Entry Point.
Ran 7th at 3-1*.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-7.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $23.00 on the ex box ($46.00/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-7-11.

Entry Point...Mullins is a top SoCal claiming trainer. Picked this one up four back and seems to have figured him out over the last couple.
Nooligan...Third start of season and numbers improved start #1 to start #2. Dangerous if trend continues.
Al's Dearly Bred...Similar scenario to Nooligan.
Professor Biggs.

Canterbury: Claiming Crown Jewel $150K

Me My Mine 3-1
Sinners N Saints 4-5*
Sandburr 4-1

Wager: $5 WP on Sinners N Saints.
Collected $6.00 on the WP (xxx, 2.40).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-3.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $9.70 on the ex box ($19.40/$2).
...$1 tri Sinners N Saints over next three.
Ran 2/1-3-5.

Sinners N Saints...Dutrow trainee looks to be in career top form right now.
Sandburr...Brings in a solid three race win-streak.
Me My Mine...Popular in the Calif claim box -- and with good reason, he likes to win.
Come On Chas.

Thistledown: Ohio Derby G2 $350K

Deputy Glitters 4-1
High Cotton 1-1*
Flashy Bull 3-1

Sacred Light completed the $212.20/$2 super.

Wager: $3 tri key High Cotton over Flashy Bull/Deputy Glitters.
Ran 2/1-3.
...$1 tri key High Cotton over next three.
Ran 2/1-3-4.

High Cotton...Hard to go beyond off of his last two.
Flashy Bull...Set the pace and faded in last but might have needed that one as a tightener.
Deputy Glitters...Still a question mark whether those Tampa races were a fluke.
Sacred Light.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks


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