Equidaily Racing Journal



Saturday, July 1, 2006
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes
by Seth Merrow

Four winners on top in thirteen races [Monmouth, $2.80; Philly, $2.80; Churchill, $3.20; Lone Star, $4.40]. And those win prices perfectly demonstrate that it was once again a low-value afternoon -- the kind that has plagued as for the past few weeks.

We had plenty of action -- cashing tickets in eight of twelve races [all our plays scratched out of one of the events]. We had three cold exactas -- but none reached double-digits. In one of those races our third pick completed the cold tri -- for a measly $17.60/$2. That's just the way the ball has been bouncing lately...

WAGERED: $382.00
COLLECTED: $284.40

Turf wagers are turf only

Best Bets

Belmont, Race 1, Tuffertiger... WON (4.20, 2.50, 2.20).
Belmont, Race 4, Sabre Baby... WON (6.30, 3.00, 2.70).
Belmont, Race 5, WPS Americaner... 8th at 21-1.
Belmont, Race 8, Ready to Please... 3rd at 3-1 (xxx, xxx, 3.30).
Monmouth, Race 8, Commission... 5th at 7-2.
Monmouth, Race 10, About Noon... 4th at 6-1.
Churchill, Race 2, Barbados... 2nd at 2-1 (xxx, 3.40, 2.40).
Prairie Meadows, Race 9, Master Command... 6th at 2-1.


Our Head-to-Head feature pits Coast-to-Coast's Seth Merrow against DRF's Weekend Warrior, Mike Watchmaker. Whenever the two columns make selections in the same race we'll tally the results for each.

This week's matchup races Seth Merrow/Equidaily.com's Coast-to-coast Mike Watchmaker/DRF's Weekend Warrior
Prairie Meadows: Cornhusker BC Hcp 6th at 2-1/Master Command 13th at 4-1/Mayan King
Hollywood: Cashcall Invy 5th at 9-2/Cambiocorsa 3rd at 13-1/Luas Line
This Week 2-0-0-0 2-0-0-1
YTD/win mutuel 60-16-8-8, $103.70 60-7-9-11, $48.30
(Head-to-Head results above are only for those races which were common to both columns. Weekend Warrior might have tabbed other races not reflected in the results above.)

Belmont: Mother Goose G1 $250K

Bushfire 3-1
Pine Island 5-1
Ready to Please 3-1

Wager: $5 WP on Ready to Please.
Ran 3rd.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-7.
...$1 tri key Ready to Please over next three.
Ran 3/1-4-7.
...$1 tri key Joint Effort over other three.
Ran 7/1-3-4.

Ready to Please...Improved notably as a 3YO and that improvement seems to be continuing with each start.
Joint Effort...Graded stakes winner looks like she's a the top of her game right now.
Lemons Forever...Upset G1 Ky Oaks with big closing move -- not sure that style will suit her best in this one-turn event.

Belmont: Suburban Hcp G1 $400K

Invasor 6-5*
Wild Desert 7-2
Andromeda's Hero 19-1

Wager: $5 WP on Tap Day.
Ran 5th at 7-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-5.
...$1 tri key Tap Day over next three.
Ran 5/1-2-3.
...$1 tri key Invasor over other three.
Collected $58.25 on the tri box ($116.50/$2).

Tap Day...Plenty of layoff lines and subsequently plenty of question marks -- but his best numbers last year are good enough to score here. He ran a good second in this race last year. The unknown is, of course, will he rebound to those top numbers?
Invasor...Looked convincing in G1 Pimlico Special. Just not quite convinced on this one yet.
Andromeda's Hero...Has shown flashes but made limited visits to winner's circle -- however, fired a lifetime best Beyer in last.
Wild Desert.

Monmouth: Jersey Shore BC G3 $150K

Henny Hughes 2-5*
Saint Daimon 9-1
He's Got Grit 2-1

Fabulous Strike, Keyed Entry scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Fabulous Strike.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 tri key Fabulous Strike over next three.
...$1 tri key Keyed Entry over other three.

Fabulous Strike...Met the two monsters of this 3YO sprint division last time and lead until late. Cutback to 6F should help.
Keyed Entry...Sprinting might be the future for this talented Pletcher runner that was obviously over-matched in the Derby.
Henny Hughes...Has yet to miss an exacta in six career starts. But we're still not quite sure how talented he really is. First start since last October so we'll know more about that today.
He's Got Grit.

Philly: Dr J Penny Memorial Hcp $100K

Pommes Frites 2-5*
Sabellina 3-1
Buck Trout's Niece 34-1

Ozone Bere scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Pommes Frites.
Collected $12.25 on the WP (2.80, 2.10).
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four, sub next if scratch.
Collected $3.40 on the ex box ($6.80/$2).
...$1 tri box top four, sub next if scratch.
Ran 1-2-4-5.

Pommes Frites...Always tough on the front end.
Ozone Bere.,,Dangerous. Third last time, seven behind top pick -- but the scenario simply wasn't set up for her. Expect much better today.
Sabellina...Should be able to stalk the early pace and make a run.
Seek to Soar.

Churchill: Firecracker BC Hcp G2 $250K

Miesque's Approval 3-5*
Free Thinking 4-1
Therecomesatiger 6-1

Wager: $5 WP on Miesque's Approval.
Collected $14.00 on the WP (3.20, 2.40).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Collected $9.40 on the ex box ($9.40/$2).
...$1 tri key Miesque's Approval over next three.
Collected $18.00 on the tri box ($36.00/$2).
...$1 tri key Free Thinking over other three.
Ran 2/1-3-5.

Miesque's Approval...Has blasted three incredibly improved efforts since moving into Wolfson barn.
Free Thinking...Another that seems improved since moving into a new barn.
Place Cowboy...Calif invader has been going well in 2006.

Lone Star: Alysheba BC $100K

His Eyes 6-5*
Mr Pursuit 6-5
Almost Certain 6-1

Wager: $5 WP on His Eyes.
Collected $16.50 on the WP (4.40,, 2.20).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Collected 9.00 on the WP (4.40, 2.20).
...$2 tri key His Eyes over next three.
Collected $17.60 on the tri box ($17.60/$2).

His Eyes...Just looks like he might have a pace advantage on these.
Mr Pursuit...Probably slightly over-matched in G3 LS Derby. Was going well prior to that.
Almost Certain...Ran a pretty good one last time off of a break and that might signal good things to come.
Cotton Lane.

Lone Star: LS Oaks $60K

Aly's Vow 6-5*
Sweet Idea 3-1
Betty Garr 23-1

Wager: $5 WP on Kalyrra.
Ran 4th at 8-5.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-4.
...$1 tri key Kalyrra over next three.
Ran 4/1-2-5.
...$1 tri key Aly's Vow over other three.
Ran 1/2-4-5.

Kalyrra...Best win was clearly the grass win two back.
Aly's Vow...Also has done her best on grass.
Sweet Idea...Should find this spot to her liking.
Night Speeker.

Prairie Meadows: Iowa Distaff BC $125K

No Sleep 2-1
Capeside Lady 1-1*
Platinum Ballet 3-1

Wager: $5 WP on Capeside Lady.
Collected $6.00 on the WP (xxx, 2.40).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Collected $14.40 on the ex box ($14.40/$2).
...$1 tri key Capeside Lady over next three.
Ran 2/1-3-5.

Capeside Lady...Ran big in the Oaklawn stake and then flopped in follow-up after some trouble. Look for a rebound.
No Sleep...Huge win in last might signal she's in peak form -- or it might have simply indicated that she really likes Monmouth.
Platinum Ballet...Decent efforts in graded company earlier this year would make you think she's classier than these -- except for the uninspired third in $50K stake prep for this.
Caviar Emptor.

Prairie Meadows: Iowa Sprint Hcp $125K

Coach Jimi Lee 3-1
Bishop Court Hill 4-5*
Brooker 6-1

Wager: $5 WP on Semaphore Man.
Ran 4th at 3-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-4.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $9.20 on the ex box ($18.40/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Collected $40.00 on the tri box ($80.00/$2).

Semaphore Man...Has tossed in some big efforts this year and has a couple of nice runs over the track.
Coach Jimi Lee...Good win in 2006 debut in prep for this. 5-3-2-0 over this strip.
Bishop Court Hill...NY-invader seems in career form this season.

Prairie Meadows: PM Cornhusker BC Hcp G2 $300K

Siphon City 23-1
Three Hour Nap 11-1
Gouldings Green 9-2

Wager: $5 WP on Master Command.
Ran 6th at 2-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 6-10.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-6-10-13.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 3-6-10-13.

Master Command...Pletcher 4YO might prove interesting in her if he employs the front-running tactic again.
Alumni Hall...Has knocked heads with some of the best and last two show he's going well now.
Mayan King...Owner David Partridge Family Cassidy thought he had a Ky Derby hopeful last year with this guy. But he was laid up after G2 Lane's End flop. Three races so far this year though seem to indicate he's ready to live up to that early promise. Just not as battle-tested as some others in here.
Gouldings Green.

Hollywood: A Gleam Hcp G2 $150K

Somethinaboutlaura 8-5*
Maryfield 8-5
Allswellthatnswell 15-1

Wager: $5 WP on Maryfield.
Collected $6.50 on the WP (xxx, 2.60).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Colleected $11.60 on the WP ($11.60/$2).
...$1 tri key Maryfield over next three.
Ran 2/1-3-5.
...$1 tri key Somethinaboutlaura over other three.
Collected $21.90 on the tri box ($43.80/$2).

Maryfield...Has stepped it up noticeably since being claimed by O'Neill.
Somethinaboutlaura...Seldom misses a check.
Cotorra...Stretching off of a couple of nice 5.5F sprint wins.

Hollywood: Cashcall Invy G3 $750K

Dance in the Mood 5-2*
Sweet Talker 3-1
Luas Line 13-1

Wager: $5 WP on Cambiocorsa.
Ran 5th at 9-2.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-5.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $16.40 on the ex box ($32.80/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-5-6.

Cambiocorsa...Speedy. Leaves from the rail. Won when stretched to this trip in last.
Sweet Talker...2-2 since returning as a 4YO.
Dance in the Mood...Japanese invaders 5th to the very good Bullish Luck last time might signal that she's got a class edge on these.
Shining Energy.

Hollywood: Landaluce $100K

Pinata 7-1
Holly Torque Tango 9-5*
Swiss Rose 8-1

Coco Belle scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Thru n' Thru.
Ran 4th [moved up from 5th on DQ] at 2-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-4-8.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-4-8.

Thru n' Thru...Baffert runner was purchased for $130K at 2YO sale in March. Made the investment look good taking debut effort a couple of weeks ago.
Coco Belle...Second to top pick last time.
Hello Irish...Should benefit from debut win.
Holly Torque Tango.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks


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