Equidaily Racing Journal



Saturday, April 15, 2006
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes

Eight very nice races on the coast-to-coast dance card this afternoon. The highlights, of course, two more major stepping stones on the Derby Trail -- the Bluegrass and the Arkansas Derby.

Turf wagers are turf only

Best Bets

Aqueduct, Race 8, Miraculous Miss... WON (3.60, 2.50, 2.10).
Laurel, Race 9, Sweet Talker... WON (3.60, 3.00, 2.80).
Laurel, Race 10, Independent George... WON (2.40, 2.40, 2.10).
Keeneland, Race 2, Bark Dust... 2nd at 5-2 (xxx, 5.20, 3.80).
Keeneland, Race 5, Latice... WON (5.60, 3.40, 2.80).
Keeneland, Race 8, Kazoo... 2nd at 8-1 (xxx, 11.40, 7.80).
Keeneland, Race 9, Bluegrass Cat... 4th at 9-5.
Oaklawn, Race 5, Admiral's Arch... WON (7.00, 3.80, 3.00).


Our Head-to-Head feature pits Coast-to-Coast's Seth Merrow against DRF's Weekend Warrior, Mike Watchmaker. Whenever the two columns make selections in the same race we'll tally the results for each.

This week's matchup races Seth Merrow/Equidaily.com's Coast-to-coast Mike Watchmaker/DRF's Weekend Warrior
Keeneland: Blue Grass 4th at 9-5/Bluegrass Cat 3rd at 5-2/Strong Contender
Keeneland: Jenny Wiley WON at 6-5/Wend ($4.60) 2nd at 7-2/Asi Siempre
Oaklawn: Northern Spur BC WON at 5-2/Admiral's Arch [$7.00] 5th at 3-1/High Adventure
This Week 3-2-0-0 3-0-1-1
YTD/win mutuel 39-9-4-4, $59.30 39-3-6-6, $25.50
(Head-to-Head results above are only for those races which were common to both columns. Weekend Warrior might have tabbed other races not reflected in the results above.)

Aqueduct: Comely G2 $150K

Miraculous Miss 4-5*
Regal Engagement 7-1
Daytime Promise 5-1

Teammate scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Miraculous Miss.
Collected $15.25 on the WP (3.60, 2.50).
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 1-3-4.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-3-4.

Miraculous Miss...Love the set-up: Third start of the season, stretching out off of two improving sprint efforts.
Teammate... Jerkens filly ran huge first-time Lasix in last. Cuts back in distance and a repeat makes her dangerous.
Win McCool...Showed promise last year. Toss season debut due to early trouble.
Daytime Promise.

Laurel: Dahlia $85K

Sweet Talker 4-5*
Smart N Classy 10-1
Humoristic 10-1

Wager: $5 WP on Sweet Talker.
Coleected $16.50 on the WP (3.60, 3.00).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-4.
...$1 exacta box top four, sub next if scratch.
Ran 1-3-4-9.

...$1 tri box top four, sub next if scratch.
Ran 1-3-4-9.

Sweet Talker... G1 winner moves into the Graham Motion barn and looks to have found a cozy spot for 2006 debut.
Art Fan... She's typically in the mix -- and has a good record over the track.
Humoristic... Like top two she's coming back from a layoff -- but also like them, she seems have an edge on most of these.
Dynamic Deputy.
Smart N Classy.

Oaklawn: Northern Spur BC $100K

Admiral's Arch 5-2*
Sweetening 37-1
Mr Pursuit 5-1

Wager: $5 WP on Admiral's Arch.
Collected $2.700 on the WP (7.00, 3.80).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-8.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 1-3-5-8.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-3-5-8.

Admiral's Arch... Came back this season with nice improved form and added 3YO maturity. Looks to be on a nice improving trend and adds blinkers which is a solid angle with Asmussen.
Kings Challenge... His two Oaklawn tries were pretty solid so slight dud at Turfway might simply indicate he didn't like the 21st-century surface. Look for rebound.
High Adventure... Also has taken to this track and might be ripe for a good one while stretching out from sprints.
Mr Pursuit.

Oaklawn: Instant Racing BC $100K

Gasia 4-1
Morner 5-1
Incumbent 7-1

Wager: $5 WP on Morner.
Collected $12.50 on the WP (xxx, 5.00).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-3-4-6.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-3-4-6.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-3-4-6.

Morner... Took a lead and then was caught late in the Honeybee. That was her first try around two turns and the winner that day, Ermine, might be a good one. This gal might last longer today with that experience under her belt.
Coronado's Vision... Just missed in stakes debut. Lightly raced -- still plenty of upside.
Beau Dare... Flopped at Churchill to end 2005 but had a promising 2YO season prior to that one. Likely to come back to that good form -- question mark is, will it be today or might she need one?

Oaklawn: Arkansas Derby G1 $1 mil

Lawyer Ron 1-2*
Steppenwolfer 7-1
Private Vow 5-1

Wager: $5 WP on Lawyer Ron.
Collected $14.00 on the WP (3.00, 2.60).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Collected $13.80 on the ex box.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $6.90 on the ex box.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-4-10.

Lawyer Ron... Toss the turf and the Polytrack starts and he's on an even more impressive win-streak. Hard to go past off of the facile wins in both Oaklawn preps for this.
Steppenwolfer... Nipped for the place-spot in last. Think he's better than that.
Simon Pure... Expect this Lukas trainee to be sent early and play catch me if you can.
Red Raymond.

Keeneland: Jenny Wiley G2 $200K

Wend 6-5*
Asi Siempre 7-2
Mirabilis 5-1

Amorama completed the $189.60/$2 super.

Wager: $5 WP on Wend.
Collected $19.00 on the WP (4.60, 3.00).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Collected $16.80 on the ex box ($16.80/$2).
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $8.40 on the ex box.
...$1 tri box top four.
Collected $28.00 on the tri box ($56.00/$2).

Wend... Mott trainee ran her best yet winning season debut in G3 at Gulfstream. Undeafeated at the trip.
Asi Siempre... Invaded from Europe and put together three solid US starts last year. 2-2 over this track and will be formidable if ready off the layoff.
Amorama... G1 winner from Stronach/Frankel would be no surprise.

Keeneland: Commonwealth BC G2 $400K

Sun King 7-1
Kazoo 8-1
Spanish Chestnut 4-1

Wager: $5 WP on Kazoo.
Collected $28.50 on the WP (xxx, 11.40).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-9.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-6-9-10.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-6-9-10.

Kazoo... Had this one on top last week in the G1 Carter off of the bang-up effort in the G3 Toboggan. He scratched, but the horse that ran behind him in the Toboggan went on to win. Might be sitting on a good effort.
Mister Fotis...Has fired a couple of big shots recently at this distance.
Vicarage...One of his best races was a 7F stake over this track last fall.
Wild Tale.

Keeneland: Blue Grass G1 $750K

Sinister Minister 8-1
Storm Treasure 65-1
Strong Contender 5-2

Wager: $5 WP on Bluegrass Cat.
Ran 4th at 9-5*.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 4-5.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-9
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-9.

Bluegrass Cat... Race fans have a tendency to have a little too much of a what have you done for me lately attitude. So this guy will take a little bit of a hit off of the second-place in the G3 Tampa Bay Derby. But we think that race was better than it looked and we're not jumping ship.
First Samurai... Third start of 2006 should have him primed. Like the top pick, his up-close style will play well on this track.
Court Folly..Very interesting. Should add some value to the plays. Sharp Humor and Noonmark could be the real deals -- and this guy was a decent third behind them in his stakes debut. Third start off the layoff -- stretching from two sprints... We like the angles.
Strong Contender.

If we are interested in both halves of an entry -- in event of a scratch -- it is noted that way. If only one-half of the entry is named, then we prefer that half and will move to our next pick listed in event of a scratch.
Scratches listed in our results reflect only horses that were part of our selections, not necessarily all the horses that were scratched. Check official results for complete information.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks


Note: Pages on this site are labelled with the equidaily.com logo. Some links are for information only and lead to pages at other sites. equidaily.com is responsible only for the pages on this site. equidaily.com assumes no responsibility for errors or omissions. Always check with official sources to verify info.

E-mail any questions, comments, or suggestions:

email button

Copyright 2006 equidaily.com