Equidaily Racing Journal



Saturday, November 19, 2005
Picks and plays for some of the day's major stakes

It was mostly hit-and-miss all day with even the hits offering little value. We take solace in the fact that we went four-for-fourteen with winners on top to squeak out a modest profit in that category (Laurel, $7.60, $3.40; La Down/FG, $3.20; Hollywood, $14.30).

Our biggest disappointment of the afternoon came in the Prevue at Hollywood. Typically on this page we work off of a standard wagering template that we'll tinker with if the situation warrants. Short fields usually force us to take a stand and that's exactly what we did on Saturday at Hollywood. We don't want to complicate things with long lists of "If-Thens" (ie, if Silky Sullivan is at least 3-1 then bet...) -- things are more fun to follow when they're kept simple. But that means we sometimes get zapped like this week when our top pick in the short field of the Prevue went off a juicy 6-1. We thought the 4-1 on the ML was probably too generous. Doh!

We took a stand in the Prevue with a quinella and tri and missed the WP ($14.30. 5.80) as well as the exacta ($65.40/$2) and quinella ($33.40/$2) with our top choice over our third selection. It's easily conceivable that we could have aded another $200 or so to our bankroll if we had only used our typical $5 WP play and perhaps dipped further into the exacta or quinella with our third choice (as we did elsewhere on the card in the Stuyvesant at Aqueduct). C'est la vie.

WAGERED: $580.00
COLLECTED: $252.40

Turf wagers are turf only


Our Head-to-Head feature pits Coast-to-Coast's Seth Merrow against DRF's Weekend Warrior, Mike Watchmaker. Whenever the two columns make selections in the same race we'll tally the results for each.


The Head-to-Head excitement continues. Once again this week Merrow and Watchmaker shared a winner. Coast-to-coast continues to maintain a lead in the winners and in-the-money categories, while Weekend Warrior is tops with money-won. Both players still need a few more bucks to pass the break-even mark however...

This week's matchup races Seth Merrow/Equidaily.com's Coast-to-coast Mike Watchmaker/DRF's Weekend Warrior
Churchill: Cardinal Hcp 2nd at 7-2 (xxx, 4.80, 3.00)/Delta Princess 8th at 6-1/Stage Shy
Laurel: Futurity WON (7.60, 4.60, 6.40)/Barbaro WON (7.60, 4.60, 6.40)/Barbaro
Laurel: DeFrancis Dash 2nd at 2-1 (xxx, 4.20, 3.00)/Tiger Heart 6th at 6-1/Elusive Jazz
This Week 3-1-2-0 3-1-0-0
YTD (from 9/10/05)/win mutuel 28-6-3-5, $45.20 28-5-2-3, $46.50
(Head-to-Head results above are only for those races which were common to both columns. Weekend Warrior might have tabbed other races not reflected in the results above.)

Best Bets

Aqueduct, Race 7, Oonagh Maccool... 6th at 3-2.
Laurel, Race 6, Barbaro... WON (7.60, 4.60, 6.40).
Laurel, Race 7, Moon Dazzle... 3rd at 7-2 (xxx, xxx, 3.80).
Laurel, Race 9, Battle Chant... 10th at 2-1.
Churchill, Race 6, Dyna's Destiny... 4th at 8-5.

Aqueduct: Soaring Softly $65K

Mountain Mambo 14-1
Half Heaven 9-2
Quick Queen 32-1

Wager: $5 WP on Oonagh Maccool.
Ran 6th at 3-2.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-6.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-4-5-6.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-4-5-6.

Oonagh Maccool...Euro-import by Giant's Causeway is 2-2 across the pond and now goes first-time for Pletcher. Looks like the real deal in this field.
Half Heaven...Solid competitor this season and has been second in similar stakes last two tries.
Finlandia...Has been impressive in her four turf starts.
Wait It Out.

Aqueduct: Stuyvesant Hcp G3 $100K

Evening Attire 7-2
West Virginia 4-1
Aggadan 2-1

Wager: $10 exacta Aggadan over Spite the Devil.
Ran 3-5.
...$4 exacta Aggadan over Kennel Up.
Ran 3-4.

Aggadan...Stuck in the bridesmaid role for most of this season but look best in this small field.
Spite the Devil...Capable state-bred won rich Empire Classic last time in first start off the bench.
Kennel Up.

Laurel: Md Million Starter Hcp $50K

Su Marval 23-1
Summer Carnival 7-2
Johns Rush 9-2

Love Antics scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Summer Carnival.
Collected $13.50 on the WP (xxx, 5.40).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-4.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-4-7.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-4-7.

Summer Carnival...Looks like plenty of speed to shoot at and this guy has been closing in his last couple. Stretches out after two sprints.
Dixie Colony...Also shows some closing punch. Won a stake over this track in latest.
Love Antics...Lightly raced and on the improve.
Foxs Gold Digger.

Laurel: Selima $125K

J'ray 6-5
Nice Nelly 9-2
Rasta Farian 12-1

Wager: $5 WP on Art Show.
Ran 4th at 6-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-4.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $17.10 on the ex box ($34.20/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-4-8.

Art Show...Hasn't missed an exacta in five starts and show improving Beyers throughout. Experience counts and she's battle-tested with a stakes win.
J'ray...Pletcher/Bailey NY-bred won an open stake at Keeneland. Might rate higher but will have to overcome outside post.
Ebony Rose...Uncoupled Pletcher entry broke her maiden in an improved effort last time.
Nice Nelly.

Laurel: Stefanita $75K

Princess Pelona 16-1
Traci Girl 3-1
Sensibly Chic 4-5

Storm Minstrel scratched.

Wager: $5 WP on Sensibly Chic.
Ran 3rd at 4-5.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-4.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-3-4.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-3-4.

Sensibly Chic...Won this race last year -- but that was 6F at Pimlico. Today's distance is a little more of a concern but it looks like she has a class edge in this bunch.
Valley of the Gods...Seems at the top of her game now and won a stake this trip and track last time.
Traci Girl...3-for-6 at the distance. Making third start off layoff.
Storm Minstrel.

Laurel: Laurel Futurity $125K

Barbaro 5-2
Diabolical 5-1
Exton 47-1

Wager: $5 WP on Barbaro.
Collected $30.50 on the WP (7.60, 4.60).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-6.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $25.80 on the ex box ($51.60/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-4-6.

Barbaro...Good turf sire in Dynaformer. Dam was graded stakes-placed in NY. Sharp debut win indicates he could be a good one in the making.
Wedding Singer...Best turf effort was on firm ground and Pletcher/Velazquez runner might be tough if able to get that footing again today.
Rock Lobster...Stretches out today off of two good, closing sprint efforts.

Laurel: April Run $75K

Smart N Classy 14-1
Art Fan 7-2
Moon Dazzle 7-2

Wager: $5 WP on Moon Dazzle.
Ran 3rd.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-3.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-3-9-10.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-3-9-10.

Moon Dazzle...Always like these Euro-shipper from Clement. Could be ready to pop after two good NW2 tries in NY.
Art Fan...Still has to prove herself in stakes company but has won two since moving to Laurel and fits with these.
Dynamia...Lightly raced 4YO has been off since summer but is capable if able to fire off the bench.
Spring Season.

Laurel: Anne Arundel $100K

Trickle of Gold 3-5
Sticky 3-1
Lexi Star 10-1

Wager: $5 WP on Trickle of Gold.
Collected $15.00 on the WP (3.40, 2.60).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Collected $10.00 on the ex box ($10.00/$2).
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $5.00 on the ex box.
...$1 tri box top four.
Collected $20.50 on the tri box ($41.00/$2).

Trickle of Gold...Brings in a 5-race win-streak> all of those were 6F so the 1M trip is a concern but speedball will be aided on the stretchout by the fact that it's only one-turn.
Sticky...Cutting back off of a couple of good two-turn tries. Should be rolling late.
Classy Charm...Tried the turf for four races earlier this year and seems to have come back improved since return to dirt.
Lexi Star.

Laurel: Laurel Turf Cup $75K

Dreadnaught 3-1
Major Rhythm 7-1
Patrol 23-1

Wager: $5 WP on Battle Chant.
Ran 10th at 2-1.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 10-11.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $39.00 on the ex box ($78.00/$2).
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-10-11.

Battle Chant...The clunker last time was likely due to the dawdling pace. Things should set up today in a way to allow this one to rebound to prior good form.
Proud Man...7YO millionaire is still capable of competing at this level.
Major Rhythm...Could add some value here.

Laurel: DeFrancis Memorial G1 $300K

I'm the Tiger 3-1
Tiger Heart 2-1
Clever Electrician 48-1

Wager: $5 WP on Tiger Heart.
Collected $10.50 on the WP (xxx, 4.20).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Collected $26.00 on the ex box ($26.00/$2).
...$1 exacta box top four.
Collected $13.00 on the ex box.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-2-5-13.

Tiger Heart...Ran second and split Taste of Paradise and Lion Tamer in G1 Vosburgh and those two ran 2-3 in BC Sprint. Goes out for same connections as those of Silver Train -- the BC Sprint winner.
I'm the Tiger...Faded in Vosburgh but might appreciate return to a track with tighter turns.
Abbondanza...2-2 at Laurel and always seems to sneak in for a piece.
Saay Mi Name.

Churchill: Caressing Hcp $70K

For Always 7-2
Special Heritage 21-1
Performing Diva 7-2

Wager: $5 WP on Dyna's Destiny.
Ran 4th at 8-5.
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 3-4.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-7.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 3-4-5-7.

Dyna's Destiny...Broke maiden convincingly two back and followed with a decent stakes debut. Should benefit from the education.
Performing Diva...Disappointed last time but look for a good effort going first-time turf for Mott.
Slew Peg...Looks like the one they'll have to catch.
Lady Danza.

Churchill: Cardinal Hcp G3 $150K

Sundrop 7-1
Delta Princess 7-2
Finery 5-1

Wager: $5 WP on Delta Princess.
Collected $12.00 on the WP (xxx, 4.80).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 2-7.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 2-7-8-9.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 2-7-8-9.

Delta Princess...Solid stakes competitor ran her two best races this year on this track.
Katdogawn...Finished behind BC F/M Turf winner in last couple.
Humoristic...Looks capable of competing in here.
Stage Shy.

Fair Grounds at La Downs: Gentilly $50K

Desert Wheat 3-5
Willtosucceed 16-1
Waystogeaux 29-1

Wager: $5 WP on Desert Wheat.
Collected $14.50 on the WP (3.20, 2.60).
...$2 exacta box top two.
Ran 1-10.
...$1 exacta box top four.
Ran 1-7-8-10.
...$1 tri box top four.
Ran 1-7-8-10.

Desert Wheat...Stakes-place against open company -- seems well-spotted against state-breds.
Union Parish...Solid debut win. Tested today but could be a good one.
Voodoo Gold...Toss last. Will be tough if able to duplicate prior good form in turf debut.
Justin's Magic.

Hollywood: Hollywood Prevue G3 $100K

Your Tent Or Mine 6-1
Da Stoops 5-1
The Pharaoh 4-1

Wager: $10 quinella top two.
Ran 1-5.
...$2 tri key Your Tent Or Mine over next two.
Ran 1/2-5.

Your Tent Or Mine...By potent first-out sire, won debut at Del Mar. Off since but trainer OK in that department. Well be tough if able to show some decent second-start improvement.
Bengal Lore...Plenty of early speed and has just missed in stake last two tries.
Da Stoops... Cal-bred from Baffert also has early foot. Cutting back from one mile try last time.

If we are interested in both halves of an entry -- in event of a scratch -- it is noted that way. If only one-half of the entry is named, then we prefer that half and will move to our next pick listed in event of a scratch.
Scratches listed in our results reflect only horses that were part of our selections, not necessarily all the horses that were scratched. Check official results for complete information.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks


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