Equidaily Racing Journal

Coast-to-coast

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Fri/Sat May 6-7, 2022
Picks and plays for Oaks/Derby Day stakes
by Seth Merrow


Turf selections/wagers are turf only

Churchill: G1 $3mil Ky Derby

Epicenter...Should be forwardly placed - which has worked well in this race over the last decade. Triple digit Beyer last time adds to the attraction.
Pioneer of Medina...Probably needs to step forward slightly - but it seems like that's a real possibility -- and at a square price.
Zandon...Lightly-raced but very promising and seems very likely off of the latest win.
Simplification...Hoping for a little Thunder Gulch type of a situation for this one and Pioneer of Medina, both exiting non-winning finishes in their preps.
Wager: $5 WP on Epicenter.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$2 exacta box top four.
...$.50 tri box top four.



Saturday

Churchill: G2 $500K Distaff Turf Mile

Wahanaka...Might be primed in third US start.
In Italian...Beat top pick last time and rides a three-race win-streak.
Lady Speightspeare...Talented - but hasn't won in last four.
Speak of the Devil.
On dirt: 5-7-6-8-1.

Wager: $5 WP on Wahanaka.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$.50 tri box top four.


Churchill: $160K Knick Go

Gun It...Possible that this one pops in third start back.
Shared Sense...Hard to ignore the latest.
Necker Island...In from Oaklawn.
South Bend.

Wager: $5 WP on Gun It.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$.50 tri box top four.


Churchill: G2 $500K Pat Day Mile

Jack Christopher...A top 2YO from last season makes his 3YO debut. Tough spot - but trained by Chad Brown, and does have a G1 victory on the resume already.
Major General...Draw a line through G2 Tampoa Derby and he's making steady Beyer progress.
Doppelganger...Former Baffert trainee probably fits with this group.
My Prankster.

Wager: $5 WP on Jack Christopher.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$.50 tri box top four.


Churchill: G1 $750K Derby City Distaff

Obligatory...The seasonal debut was impressive.
Bell's the One...Loves this track.
Just One Time...Successfully stepped out of Pennsylvania and grabbed a G1 win last time.
Lady Rocket.

Wager: $5 WP on Obligatory.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$.50 tri box top four.


Churchill: G2 $500K American Turf

Portfolio Company...Disappointed in Breeders' Cup - but returns for potent connections and has potential to come back improved.
Sy Dog...Undefeated and perhaps improving.
Balnikhov...Near-miss on the move from Europe.
Royal Spirit.
On dirt: 6-7-5-8-4.

Wager: $5 WP on Portfolio Company.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$.50 tri box top four.


Churchill: G1 $750K CD

Reinvestment Risk...Last two Beyers seems to indicate an improved 4YO.
Jackie's Warrior...Crazy-talented sprinter.
Cezanne...Moved from Baffert to Pletcher. Same barn move made last year by Life Is Good.
Aloha West.
Mind Control.

Wager: $5 WP on Reinvestment Risk.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top five.
...$.50 tri box top five.


Churchill: G1 $1mil Turf Classic

Mira Mission...Seems like a good fit with these and double-digits on the ML.
Santin...Typically in the hunt.
Shirl's Speight...A 'wow' win last time.
Tribhuvan.
Adhamo.
On dirt: same.

Wager: $5 WP on Mira Mission.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top five.
...$.50 tri box top five.



Friday

Churchill: G1 $1.25mil Ky Oaks

Kathleen O...Perfect so far and very impressive in latest victory.
Secret Oath... Beaten fave vs the boys last time. Here early season touts her as one of the best in the division.
Echo Zulu...Undefeated. The close win last time might leave some skeptical but clearly she would be no surprise.
Shahama.
Nest.

Wager: $5 WP on Kathlenn O.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top five.
...$.50 tri box top five.


Churchill: G3 $250K Modesty

Bleecker Street... Chad Brown trainee is undefeated - including two stakes victories.
Curly Ruth...Solid win in comebacker at Keeneland.
Hendy Woods...Seems better than latest.
She Can't Sing.
Stand Tall.
On dirt: 1-4-8.

Wager: $5 WP on Bleecker Strret.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top five.
...$.50 tri box top five.


Churchill: G1 $750K La Troienne

Pauline's Pearl... Thought she might have been best last time - gets anoter chance to prove it.
Shedaresthedevil...Talented multi-millionaire was behind the top pick last time as the beaten fave.
Battle Bling...Typically in the hunt.
Jilted Bride.

Wager: $5 W on Pauline's Pearl.
...$5 exacta box top two.
...$1 tri key ...Pauline's Pearl over next three.


Churchill: G2 $500K Alysheba

Olympiad... Mott banr is loaded with this one and the super-talented Speaker's Corner. The latter won G1 Carter last month, this guy looks solid for a G2 win here.
Max Player...Capable to contend if able to duplicate the triple-digit Beyer wins -- but that's an 'if' that has to be answered.
Happy Saver...Came back to Earth last year after an amazing start to the career - but clearly has plenty of talent.
Weyburn.

Wager: ...$5 exacta box top two.


Churchill: G2 $500K Edgewood

Dolce Zel...Beyer improved nicely in first two US starts and fits well here.
Spicer...Barnmate to top pick close-up second to top pick in seasonal debut.
My Philly Twirl... Brings in a three-race win-streak.
Beechnut Trophy.
On dirt: 5-8-2-7-10.

Wager: $5 WP on Dolce Zel.
...$5 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$.50 tri box top four.


Churchill: G2 $500K Eight Belles

Matareya...In good form.
Gerrymander...Promising 2YO season - has potential to come back even better as a sophomore.
Marissa's Lady...Hard to knock the record so far.
Wicked Halo.

Wager: $5 WP on Matareya.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$.50 tri box top four.


Churchill: G2 $500K Turf Sprint

Just Might...Solid stakes quality sprinter turf or dirt. Yes, flopped in latest - but rebound is perhaps likely if we look down the PPs to his last dud.
Arrest Me Red...Capable on best.
Pyron...Ran well at Fair Grounds - including a win over the top pick.
Gear Jockey.
On dirt: 11-7-9.

Wager: $5 WP on Just Might.
...$2 exacta box top two.
...$1 exacta box top four.
...$.50 tri box top four.


If we are interested in both halves of an entry -- in event of a scratch -- it is noted that way [in other words, both halves are named]. If only one-half of the entry is named, then we prefer that half and will move to our next pick listed [rather than the other half of the entry] in event of a scratch.

Coast-to-coast Archives...Picks, plays and results from previous weeks

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