Equidaily Racing Journal

Today's Best Bets

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Saratoga Race Course
Sunday, September 5, 2004
Meet Total ... 103-321

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Yesterday

6-11. We said that the Saturday card was almost as contentious as Friday's. And on Friday we noted that a slate of races like that can lead to a big score -- or a big loss. Friday we struggled. Saturday we had a breakout afternoon.

Six winners on top (3rd, $10.40; 6th, $5.10; 7th, $6.20; 8th, $9.20; 9th, $10.20; 11th, $12.20). A solid 142% ROI on straight win bets on the day.

But even a big day can have it's disappointments -- and perhaps the bigger the day the bigger the disappointment. On Saturday the consternation came from the fact that we were a half-length from hitting the Pick Six cold! Our top picks won races 6-9 and race 11 -- but in the 10th our top pick, favored One Eyed Joker seemed to take awhile to get into gear in the lane. Finally at about the eighth pole he kicked in and then proceeded to close like a freight train, coming up the rail and just missing. Another thirty yards and the Pick Six is ours! It was doubly frustrating because over on the Bankroll Challenge page we played a $10 Pick Six ticket, singling the first four winners! There was some consolation in collecting the $325.50 Pick Six conso for having five. But it was a vast difference from the P6 payout for all six -- $43,462.00!

Otherwise there were some nice plays to be had using the picks. Sometimes going four-deep pays and in the 1st our fourth pick bested our top choice and third selection for the $667.00/$2 tri. In the 5th it was the same three selections, but in different order, for the $244.00 tri. We had a cold $32.00 exacta in the featured Forego (missing the cold tri by a nose). And with the string of winners from the 6th through the 9th we had cold P3s in race 6-7-8 ($87.50) and 7-8-9 ($199.00).

A crowd of 18,151 attended and it was another banner day weather-wise. Truly this has been the best week of the season in that regard.

Downtown plenty of folks strolled along Broadway and enjoyed the first night of the Final Stretch music festival. The fun continues downtown Sunday night from 7-11pm.


Today

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FIRST RACE
Fancatstik...Fitness is a little bit of a question -- with only one start at the end of May as activity since last November. But ran a nice second in open company behind Tapit last year. Followed up by demolishing state-breds at Aqueduct. Tough if able to recapture best form.
Fiddlers Pride...Toss the grass test last time and this guy is usually in the hunt -- just doesn't seem to like to win.
Quiet Challenge...Another that shows good numbers last year -- but is a question mark this season. Dull try in sprint here on 8/7, if that was just a tightener he'll be tough.
Big Feathers.

SECOND RACE
Accurate...It looks like there is enough fire-power elsewhere in here that this one will offer some value -- and that gaudy trainer stat of 31% second-time out makes this one mighty attractive.
McLaughlin entry...Thunderprince is preferred. Nearly a quarter-of-a-mil as a yearling and that second-best of sixty-nine work on 7/30 is too good to ignore. Wild Vicar eligible to improve with one under his belt.
Cat's Lad...Find it interesting that he was training in Florida until a couple of weeks ago and now ships in for a try at the Spa.
Urban Conquest.
Mr Malaprop.

THIRD RACE
Tales of Glory...Kind of a guessing game here as this one will be tough if able to sneak away early from the rail -- but if he's pressured it might be a different story. Unfortunately we won't know the answer to that question until they hit the clubhouse turn...
Formal Attire...Could be the one to duel with top pick, if so they both might falter. Had a pretty good 7F tightener here on 8/5.
Limero...If things fall apart up front this one might be in a stalking position and get first jump in the lane.
Lusty Latin.

FOURTH RACE
Nurse Culkin...Has been very competitive this year. Last was best yet and a repeat could get trainer off the schneid.
Marnie's Heirloom...First two tries on turf down at Churchill would blow this bunch away -- only problem is two subsequent efforts not as good. Those two good ones though would seem to indicate this one fits pretty well with these and new jock might help.
Tiger's Halfmoon...Lightly raced over the past couple of years. Has now been able to string a few together and might move forward nicely on firm ground.
Will Flirt/El Prado's Gal.
Watral's Lady Hanne.

FIFTH RACE
Love and Kris's...Sometimes it takes 'em one at this NW1 level. Faltered last time but might be the controlling speed in here.
High Speed Access...Looks like the one to beat but closing style might leave her just a little too much to do late.
Rowdy...Won debut and so this one will be a barometer on her talent.
La Luz.

SIXTH RACE
More Moonlight...Again, the 'no-name' trainer is the assistant for Steve Asmussen. Asmussen has a gaudy stat second-time out. This one ran fourth behind Pletcher's monster Ready's Gal in debut.
Zito entry...Holy Silver could be ready to go first-time out. Burnish looked good in debut and will be tough if able to repeat or improve.
Champagne Dream...Wouldn't be surprised if Frankel 2Yo is ready to roll.
Tax Considerations/Popular Delusions.
Cheerful.

SEVENTH RACE -- Glens Falls G3 $100K Div 1
Where We Left Off...Clement filly has been ultra-consistent this year. Fits nicely at this G3 level.
Alternate...A dull thud behind the top pick last time -- but that was just too bad to believe. Won a similar stake at Delaware two back. Tough if able to recapture that good form.
Humaita...Perhaps in a little deep last time -- and maybe prefers firmer ground.
Savedbythelight.

EIGHTH RACE
Vision of Beauty...Only knock is the layoff numbers really stand out against these so she doesn't have to be tip-top to beat this bunch.
Solid Platinum...Looked good in debut. Could be a good one. We'll know more after this race.
The KO Touch...Capable of grabbing a piece for sure.
Preach It.

NINTH RACE
Dark Equation...Really seems to be getting the hang of it and the distance won't be a problem. Picks up top jock.
Charlevoix...Could be the controlling speed and at this trip that could be dangerous if the others let him get away easy. But the collapse last time and added distance today raise some question marks.
Kyungbokung...Third start off the layoff and showed nice improvement in first two. Dangerous.
Abrasive Stone.

TENTH RACE -- Glens Falls G3 $100K Div 2
Arvada...We've mentioned "controlling speed" a couple of times today and that's the key here. Beyers figs don't put this gal on top but this race is full of closers while Johnny V might be able to walk this one through some slow early fractions. If so she'll be tough to run down late.
Spice Island...Better than last and here best puts her in the thick of things here.
Aud...Only a couple of lengths back in the G1 Bev D. Ran a good second last time in NY for a G3.
Lady of the Future.

ELEVENTH RACE
Thank the Academy...Trainer is a little cold at the meet but this one seems to be getting the hang of it and ran a nice one off a brief layoff on 8/9. Oh, and the trainer is 33% second-off some bench time.
What the Hail...The cutback in distance should help.
Far Afield...Expect the Dickinson trainee to be ready to fire first start out of the box.
Gracefully Done.
Foist.
Contagious.
Saratoga Sugar.


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